CFHC Talkback For News Story #72:
Newest Talkback: 09:40 AM 08-25 EDT

Debby Dissipates
10:54 AM EDT - 24 August 2000

Debby's last advisory was issued at 11PM. There is no longer a closed circulation so it is been downgraded to a mere tropical wave. The outside chance for regeneration remains, but for the moment there are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic.

A far cry from yesterday morning, for sure. But good news for folks on the East Coast of Floida.

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Debby (Good Forecast Track Graphic)


Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports

Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #6 (of 27 total)
regenerate (#1)
Posted by: jimmy
Posted On 12:26PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (RQVNWWNQUWNR*)

what is the probability of Debby regenerated. Just everyon'e estimate.
Debby and regeneration (#2)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.atlantic-technologies.co.uk) Location: Gloucester, England, UK
Posted On 12:43PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (RQRNQSYNQXTNWV*)

Well the 06:00 run of the GDFL model predicted Debby would degenerate into an open wave by 12:00, and it has proved true! The same run predicts that Debby will be a strong TS in 48 hours, and be a hurricane by the time it skirts the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula within 72 hours. I would be inclined to agree with the model on the regeneration of Debby. it is interesting to note that although technically not a tropical storm the remnants of Debby are still supporting Tropical Storm force winds. I would not be surprised to see a new centre develop in the strong area of convection currently located in the area of Jamaica. Jamaica is the last major landmass that will affect Debby from regenerating for the next couple of days. Therefore i think we will see her upgraded to a TS within the next 48 hours if not sooner.
Bad Little Debby! (#3)
Posted by: Steve H.
Posted On 12:50PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (QSRNRRXNWPNQX*)

Just when She started looking good this morning Debby got up and ran away again! The LLCC left her convection behind. However, despite the Recon's not finding an LLCC, it's evidnet to me again at about 20N/77+ W and appears to be moving a tad to the north (see latest NRL vis closeup loop). As Richard stated, the models (some) do have her reintensifying tomorrow sometime late. I do believe that she will still end up in the SE gulf. Let's see what the 12Z runs say, but I do se an LLCC. Cheers!
wave (#4)
Posted by: Collin
Posted On 01:08PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (RPWNQVNUPNRW*)

Anyone have any feelings on the potential development of the wave in the Eastern Atlantic? What are the models saying?
Is the center N of Jamaica? (#5)
Posted by: Rick Location: Mobile, Al
Posted On 01:43PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (RPYNQRNVYNQXX*)

I see a possible llc just north of Jamaica. Anyone else see a center trying to form exactly offshore north of this island? ...maybe a pro out there can have a look...I used a visible satellite loop over the last 8 hours...

Regeneration.... (#6)
Posted by: Jim Mogle Location: Kissimmee, Fl
Posted On 01:49PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (RPUNRTRNRRXNW*)

will take a while. It still appears that the level of shear is high enough to inhibit any organization until it gets about two thirds of the way along Cuba.
Debby will organise (#7)
Posted by: Richard Byett (http://www.atlantic-technologies.co.uk) Location: Gloucester, England, UK
Posted On 02:06PM 24-Aug-2000 with id (RQRNQSYNQXTNWV*)

Well that is what i think. she has been trying to form a centre off shore from Jamaica for the passed few hours. Convection is good too. i think that when the apparent centre clears Jamaica we will see her restrengthen back to a TS, possibly by tomoro afternoon/evenig.
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