CFHC Talkback For News Story #98:
Newest Talkback: 11:13 AM 09-16 EDT

Florence, Gordon & TD#12
10:55 PM EDT - 15 September 2000

5 am Update

Gordon still a Tropical Storm as of 5am, although we all are pretty sure it will become a Hurricane and it WILL make landfall somewhere on the Gulf coast. There are still a few important questions. How strong will Gordon get before landfall and what city/town is the target.  Hurricane watch still in effect on Florida's west coast from Bonita Beach northward to the Suwanee River.  All folks from Louisianna southward should closley montitor Gordon. The orange background means Florida is under a Hurricane Watch. When it becomes a Hurricane Warning it will be RED.

  Original 11 pm update

Newly formed Tropical Storm Gordon now in the Gulf.  Still up in the air in which direction he will head.  I favor more of an east north east track than the current track of the National Hurricane Center.  It all has to do with the speed of forward motion. Looks like the upper half of the west coast of Florida needs to keep a close eye on Gordon.  Keep in mind that this is just my prediction for now.  Things could change as we all know.  This year has been a extremely hard  hurricane season to forecast. Hurricane Watch in effect for portions of the west coast of Floirda FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER 

Florence still a Tropical Storm heading in the general direction of Bermuda.  Hurricane Watch in effect for the Island of Bermuda.  Florence still has the potential to become a hurricane again, so folks on the Island start preparing.

Tropical Depression #12 heading towards the Caribbean Islands some strengthening is forecasted and this is another system we need to keep an eye on. Could this be Helne??  

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for TD#11. From Michael Bryson.

Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports

Satellite images at: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

A nice animated Water Vapor Image
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
StormCarib.com has reports from folks in the Caribbean islands themselves and is worth checking out when storms approach the Caribbean.
Ouragans.com Français -- L'information sur des ouragans comprenant beaucoup de liens.
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET


- [jc]


Show All Comments | Show Next 7 Comments

Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #7 (of 28 total)

HURRICANE WATCHES (#1)
Posted by: Richie Location: Boynton Beach, FL
Posted On 10:58PM 15-Sep-2000 with id (QURNQVSNRQSNWV*)


Hurricane Watches are going up for the Florida West Coast at 11 pm. Storm has 60 mph winds.

Better Organized, but Where is the Center (#2)
Posted by:
Mitch McCauslin (http://home.cfl.rr.com/h2ocean/weather.html) Location: Cape Canaveral, FL
Posted On 11:45PM 15-Sep-2000 with id (RTNYUNRSQNST*)


Gordon has certainly become better organized tonight - the cloud tops continue to cool and expand. I find it interesting that the NHC says there may be a second center east of the official NHC position. Is this the mid-level circulation separated from the low-level circulation or is it vertically stacked? Satellite images support the possibility that the center may be more east than the NHC position. Since we have to rely on IR images this time of the night, we will have to wait until the visible images come in tomorrow morning.

A further east track..... (#3)
Posted by: Jim Mogle Location: Kissimmee
Posted On 12:11AM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RPXNUNTRNVV*)


would be very bad news for Tampa. It is already going to be close enough, as forecasted, to give Tampa a good tropical storm force lashing and probably significant tidal flooding based on past history. If this systems track is adjust to the east, Tampa could see the brunt of this system.

gorden (#4)
Posted by: scottsvb (
http://communities.msn.com/HURRICANEUPDATECENTER)
Posted On 01:50AM 16-Sep-2000 with id (VSNRSNQXUNQXW*)


good point there,,,the question is now,,,how much ne or ene will the center go before a n turn on sat or sat night

gordan (#5)
Posted by:
troy Location: titusville,fl
Posted On 02:21AM 16-Sep-2000 with id (VSNRTNQQSNQPR*)


pressure down another 3 mb; 997 at 2am update.
monving nne at 9, but images seem to show a more ne movement overall.

interesting tracking day tomorrow


Warm Eddy (#6)
Posted by: Robert
Posted On 02:51AM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RPWNSVNRQRNRQR*)


in between florida there is an edddy of water that is 87F this sytem will EXPLODE im talking up in the major category

Keeping an eye out (#7)
Posted by: mike Location: Clearwater Beach
Posted On 05:10AM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RTNQVQNRTPNRPS*)


We've certainly seen our share of T.S. and minor Hurricanes but I'm afraid that this area has become very complacent as far as major Hurricanes. Everybody should take this very seriously as rapid intensification is possible especially in the gulf.

gordon (#8)
Posted by:
gary Location: jacksonville
Posted On 06:31AM 16-Sep-2000 with id (RPUNQXXNQYSNQXV*)


Its so funny, most people around here have been taking the attitude " o well its hiting the west coast we shouldn't worry" what they fail to realize is the soon to be hurricane is still going to be strong enough to do lots of damage.
The weather forcasters are partially to blame though, because they have said all week that the storm would miss florida. I bet they wish they could take those statements back. Hey west coast watch out, its a coming.........


Show All Comments | Show Next 7 Comments


Return to Central Florida Hurricane Center Main Page