F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 238 (Idalia) , Major: 238 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 238 (Idalia) Major: 238 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2002-2009 >> 2002 Storm Forum
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
Kevin
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Kyle concerns
      #5482 - Sat Sep 28 2002 02:14 PM

The much advertised shear over Kyle continues this morning, but one thing is concerning me. There is only 24-30 hours of shear left and he is still just below minimal hurricane strength. Also, as I have seen myself and NHC has alluded to in the latest discussion, the ridge is becoming the dominant steering feature. That is likely the reason Kyle sped on some this morning.

I'm trying to say....Florida needs to watch this along with the northern Bahamas. When the ridge fully builds in aloft, Kyle could well intensify in a very significant manner. Andrew intenisfied and turned west under similar circumstances as did Betsy, despite the fact those two storms had completely different origins.

Here's my forecast for Kyle, I'll do just the intensity, but I expect a WSW motion through 36 hours followed by a due west motion with an increase in speed.
Initial: 65 knots
12: 60 knots
24: 55 knots
36: 50 knots
48: 55 knots
72: 65 knots
96: 80 knots
We'll see how this verifies. Changes will only be made in the event a drastic intensity or track changing-event occurs

Kevin

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is enabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 2858

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center