Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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No problem. I ain't squat. I'm just a denizen of the tropics like the rest of you. I'll gladly sacrifice a minor injury for a landfall, but that would have to be scrapes, cuts and bruises ONLY. 
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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You know my opinion on models.... Unfortunately my wife won't let me have any .... geesh
Steve, Ive been watching the GOM for the past 24 hours, northern edge has a nice curvature to it, but nothing yet to get it kick started... sure looks like it wants to get something going....
If old Eddie cross Fl, enters the GOM, develops into a major hurricane, then I'll start paying more attention to the ... but this year its been a very poor performer... Hey, I certainly don't know where it going, so I end up getting abused by the models just like everyone else... they're all we got.... should be an interesting next week to say the least...
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57497479
Weather Master
Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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We're having a terrible storm here in the St. Pete area.
Steve could be right. Fl is starting to look like lunch meat between 2 slices of bread. :  Toni
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TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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StormHound
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
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The southwest track is really starting to look likely. The question, as always, is how long he takes to start moving. The has Eddie turning into a Cat 2 or 3 before landfall, by my calculations. If the is right on target long range (very doubtful, of course) New Orleans may finally get that scary one we've always talked about. An interesting week lies ahead!
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Storm Hound
Computer Geek
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Joe
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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I'am not even about to try an say where eddie will end up. But believe a west or southwest track is ok to go with for now. Considering local NWS's offices seem to agree. Hopefully we will start to see a clearer picture over the next couple of days.
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Bruce
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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I have heard that the Tropical Storm Warning has been lowered into North Florida. Anyone else hear this?
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Joe
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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No Bruce haven't heard that. If they do anyting it wouldn't be until later this afternoon. Think they can go ahead and drop georgia TS warning though. Who did you hear that from Bruce?
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Bruce
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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A Chat Room
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Bruce
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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Said they heard it on TV, maybe they meant it would be at 5pm
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57497479
Weather Master
Reged: Sun
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
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Hey Bruce, Have't heard any thing but I have been off the computer for a while and unable to listen to . The last I heard was that Ed was starting to move E -SE so it will only make since if he continues in that direction that they will at least have to extend the watch/warning area farther down the coast. Will be back on line soon again. Keep us informed. Toni
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TONI
All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism
My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3
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Alan
Unregistered
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The new has Eddie entering at Palm Coast, going down I-4 and stalling around Tampa. It then has it very slowly moving up the coast as a cat 1.
That is the last thing Florida needs as we are flooded in many places.
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troy2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
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palm coast has a toll bridge or at least use to so unless he has change he may not get far! 
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Mary K.
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 166
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Is the the outliar in the model systems? I am talking statistical outlyer not out and out falsehood prognosticator. Because the only pressure readings I am getting anywhere are not very low. Is there any more reliable models out there and what are they saying? I can't read them. Not educated enough.
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weather is all you can count on, good or bad.
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troy2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
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Pressures at the 41010 (120 miles E of C Canaveral) have drop from 29.96 at 11am to 29.88 at 4pm
at 41009 just of Cape Canavera pressure has droped from 29.97 at 11am to 29.90 at 4pm... the biggest or most stustained pressure drop trend with this yet...
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html
Still looks 'mostly' stationary but perhaps a jog a bit to the ENE is evident in the last couple of frames.
Quasi-tropical day here in the Crescent City. It's been overcast and a little breezy today. Several shower bands have been moving E to W across areas of SE LA and Coastal MS. There is a nice arc just south of the coast that would represent a stregthening eyewall if this was a classified storm. This might be good to know down the line, especially if a low pressure gets on the map tomorrow as I suspect it will. We'll stay on the wet side for a couple of days, but this would probably be a SW LA/TX problem down the line. Of course the building convection may not be a diurnal or timing thing more than energy from the wave to it's S and SW entraining some potency, but it's still worth noting.
Surface winds at the buoys show that spin is evident from some of the NNE/N winds on Upper TX Coast to the E/NE winds in the north central Gulf to some of the SSW winds further south off the TX Coast.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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 yep we do have the toll bridge still here in Palm Coast (costs me an arm and a leg to get to work everyday!) Sure hope "Eddy" decides on another location to visit and this forecast track does not varify.........so many residents of Flagler county think we are immune to a landfall from the east.... Enjoy the hol's all
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Joe
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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Models in fair agreement with differences in strength. This should prove to be one intresting week!
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Kevin
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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Edouard was moving east as of 2:00 P.M. It looks to me like this could mean more of a central Florida hit than a northern one. This is simply because the loop would occur further offshore. This could also allow for intensification into a hurricane even!
Any thoughts? Off to check Melbourne NWS discussion. 5:00 PM update comming soon as well.
Kevin
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Kevin
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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They seem fairly uncertain on possible local wind/tornado impacts. One thing appears certain though: plenty of rain.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/MIA/AFD/MIAAFDMLB.RECENT.txt
Kevin
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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You awake over there?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html#GMEX
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html
(only good for another hour or so)
http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/WestGulf.shtml
Pressures still falling. 42001 (Mid Gulf) at 29.87 S10; 42041(North Mid Gulf) 29.95 SE @ 13.6k; BURL1 (Buras) 29.91SE 15; 42002 (25.17 x 94.42) 29.94 N 7.8k.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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