greg-kfdmtv
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 9
Loc: Beaumont, Texas
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The 18Z AVN run is quite ominious for Texas and Louisiana. It will be interesting if the 00Z run is similiar...
Greg Bostwick
Chief Meteorologist
KFDM-TV Beaumont, Texas
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Where does it place it because I haven't seen it yet?
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Mike
Weather Watcher
Reged: Fri
Posts: 40
Loc: Port St. John, Fla
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Domino: Hope not to many lifes were effected. Homes and towns can be repaired. Stay safe and good luck.
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greg-kfdmtv
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 9
Loc: Beaumont, Texas
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Shawn...
It has landfall along the upper Texas-southwest Louisiana coastline Thursday night and Friday morning. Not good....
Greg Bostwick
Chief Meteorologist
KFDM-TV Beaumont, Texas
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Greg where's the link? 
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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Looking at the most recent (and very dim) visible at 2245Z, is that the eye that I see right over Cuba or a shadow?
Is it me, or has Isidore stalled? Or is it just a wobble, maybe because its over land? The Key West radar and IR show some kind of change.
Bill
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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I don't think there's any way that will happen. I feel we are kind of in the middle of where the possible landfall will be. It will either be in Mexico, which is my first pick,or somewhere east of LA. I think there is a "wall" set up that will protect us here in Texas,especially the upper Texas coast.
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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bill i see last sat pic it moved north and to the right that what you see.l
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greg-kfdmtv
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 9
Loc: Beaumont, Texas
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To view the 18Z AVN and all other models go to:
www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
Greg Bostwick
Chief Meteorologist
KFDM-TV
Beaumont, Texas
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J.J.
Unregistered
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I'm not going to sweat the system east of the Islands. Upper-level analyses show two humongous troughs west of it...if it develops east of 60W, I think it's unrealistic to expect it to either survive the shear or otherwise avoid turning north. This is not the time of year for storms to make it to the East Coast from the deep Atlantic.
Of course, if it develops in the Caribbean, that's another story.
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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its moving north.
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir2-loop.html
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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VolusiaMike
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 63
Loc: Ormond Beach, FL
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The latest info (20:00 hr) indicates direction 360 degrees at 7 MPH, top winds 98 MPH, pressure 964
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Jeanine
Weather Watcher
Reged: Mon
Posts: 36
Loc: Hollywood, FL
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Per it is drifting Northwestward and should resume its WNW movement in a few hours. I see what you guys are talking about though on the Key West Radar 
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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look at 8 0 clock statement 3 degrees north since 5 o west ok
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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dont choke on yur hat
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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That is what I thought I was seeing, sort of a stall/wobble/drift NW. Did not say it had changed direction based on just a couple of frames. And the radar is iffy, since its right on the edge of what it can "see" and what it is "seeing" is way above sea level at that range. Anybody know more or less how high in this case? Any easy formula to figure that out? And how much does it skew what we're seeing?
Good to know I wasn't seeing things though :-) I've been staring at these loops about 18 hours a day.
Bill
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meto
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 140
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hurricanes have changed their path when crossing cuba.
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Londovir
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 112
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Well, first off, excellent website and forum. I've lurked often over the last two years or so, and now actually have some time to post.
Given our local TV news anchors around here, they are all parroting the official tracks and aren't offering any real insight or guesses of their own. They show Izzy scooting through the "gap" of Cuba and then arcing low and over the Yucatan and heading into the lower GOMEX or BoC. They also show it possibly going into Cat 3 or 4 status around then too. Ooof.
I just hope that holds true and doesn't come my way! Even better, I hope it builds up over water, blows itself out over water, and washes ashore wherever as just a simple rainstorm. Too much to wish for, I know, but still....
Jay
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Londovir
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greg-kfdmtv
Meteorologist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 9
Loc: Beaumont, Texas
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The website http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html has a link to the Cancun radar.
You can not loop it but is does have a nice still image.
The eye of Isidore is just moving off the Cuban coast into the Gulf.
Greg Bostwick
Chief Meteorologist
KFDM-TV Beaumont, Texas
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