bobbi
Unregistered
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its NOT TD5
this season calls for kava kava
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bobbi
Unregistered
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center at 27.5/71 headed just north of west if not west
and secondary center SE of there.. has more of nw movement but is caught up in the flow of the center to the west
thats my call
clouds wrapping a bit more on visible
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged: Sat
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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this will not be a tropical storm anytime soon. If it were really that tropical, there would be major convection blowing off of the center with the easterly shear. I think IF it is upgraded at all (NHC has lost some credibility with me) it will likely be a subtropical system
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James88
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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A subtropical system would seem likely based on the current appearance, but we'll really know the score in a few hours. If this is the case, is there a chance that it could make the transition to a tropical system before it leaves us?
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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NHC has a breakdown of how the recon reports are read, at their site. Take a look.
sc 
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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I see one of the centers (76w/28n) pulling 99L to the West; it may seem Florida may not be out of the woods for rainy weather from 99L.
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Rabbit
Weather Master
Reged: Sat
Posts: 511
Loc: Central Florida
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could transition, but any first advisory will likely be subtropical
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bobbi
Unregistered
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good... glad im not getting dizzy from the loop
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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It does seem like it is pulling west, but I believe it is going WNW; watch out Jxville; you may be in for a soaker.
I'm beginning to see banding around that circulation- but it doesn't seem to have the spirit to mature into something.
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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James88
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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Looks like 90L may be trying to pull itself together. There is a little more convection blossoming over the system now.
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bobbi
Unregistered
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http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/satelliteworld/caribbeansatellite_large_animated.html
seriously..seen it slowly developing down there.. also see more color in the gulf near the yucatan but talking tucked away neatly south of cuba.. does seem to twist and no im NOT watching the WV loop.
Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Jul 30 2004 09:11 PM)
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bobbi
Unregistered
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http://www.met.inf.cu/radar.asp
taking a break, go on name something w/o me.. have fun
bobbi
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James88
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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Recon have reported a west wind - does this mean we finally have a system on our hands?!
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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90L OR 99L?
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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James88
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 576
Loc: Gloucestershire, England, UK
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99L - (they cancelled the recon to 90L this morning).
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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It sure looks nice on satellite-it is moving due west for now.
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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Yeah, I have been watching that westward movement...I wonder if the models from last evening's run saying it go into FL was onto something? Interestingly the after NWS discussions don't mention any direct impact at all...MLB even said about lower precip. chances some tomorrow. It will be interesting to see where it goes...TV weather folks still saying NC...not so sure about that now, or maybe after a recurve. Interesting if it does hit FL to GA area, that would backup Bastardi's Teleconnection ideas, though he was also saying a Carolina hit.
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Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station
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Rob_M
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 60
Loc: Cary, NC
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Seems to be becoming more linear on satellite imagery...not as impressive as it was earlier today. Also, recon has not found sustained winds stronger than 24KT so far. As of now, not looking too good for a classification next advisory. It may try to pull together before reaching the coast...but I don't see anything more than a TD or STD from this one.
Still think 90L has some potential as it moves slowly further W. A pre-existing low level circulation moving slowly under a large upper level ridge in bath Gulf waters always bears watching.
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Rob Mann
IndependentWx.Com
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Fri
Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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Bastardi's afternoon update still says NC - he says between Cape Lookout and Cape Fear as a 60 mph storm on He is still concerned about the Gulf system.
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Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station
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GaryC
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 109
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any new news about this system?
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