LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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(hmmm)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Aug 09 2004 08:32 PM)
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
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(hmmm)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Aug 09 2004 08:30 PM)
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Fairly nice convection being thrown off from a small low centered over Lake Ponchatrain, just N of New Orleans Airport. Radar appearance is nice too.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.klix.shtml
And the SSC latest visible shot.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/displ...RENT=LATEST.jpg
Edited by danielw (Mon Aug 09 2004 08:14 PM)
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carl
Unregistered
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latest visible shot seems to show the beginnings of an eye--hard to believe! Maybe its just a shadow caused by the low sun angle, but either way Bonnie looks pretty healthy to me
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BabyCat
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 150
Loc: New Orleans, La.
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It doesn't look good for#3, that close behind, even if it is a few days behind.
Bonnie will get all the heat...
If I remember right, Opal started as a TD the night before Yom Kippur over by Mexico. The next morning, we all woke up (I was in New Orleans) to a Cat 3. Talk about some quick-stepping getting ready for that. Good thing it kept moving, for New Orleans at least.
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DroopGB31
Weather Guru
Reged: Sat
Posts: 122
Loc: Pensacola
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Hey Guys, thanks for surprising me. I check in early this morning and theres nothing come home and I got a tropical storm south of me. So whats goin on with her? From what I gather, the farther west she goes, the better chance of a NC Gulf Landfall? Looking forward to hearing ya'lls input. I wont be able to get on all day tomorrow again due to school and football!!!  
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Part of a post from the previous thread - just in case some of you might have missed it.
Folks:
Its time to stay on topic. The site is going to get very busy - and you know what that means. I've already got a full time job (I don't need another) and the next week is going to keep ME very busy. I'd like to be able to spend at least a little time on the site sharing my thoughts - but I'll need your help in order to do that. I love this stuff too, but the boss often has other ideas, so please try to make it easy on the Admins and Mods this week and with luck I'll be able to make a post or two. Please give LI Phil and HF your support - I think that they would like to enjoy these storms too.
Thanks,
ED
(Thanks bobbi for the indirect reminder - I had placed it on the wrong thread.)
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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unless bonnie grows in size it will be pint sized and only effect areas close to land fall... but the future charlie is a big ole thing
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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...not Charlie
And it's not even 2-for-tuesday!
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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URNT11 KNHC 100020
97779 00204 30259 88000 73600 99005 66742 /5763
RMK AF963 0302A INVEST OB 24
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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i know that... bonnie and are my neighbors. whats your take on all this? will bonnie take all the steam outta of the gulf and leave punchless. i don't think she is big enough to use up all the energy. thats why (TD3) is what really worries me if it gets in the gulf. of course its still a long way off.
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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000
URNT12 KNHC 092321
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/2321Z
B. 23 DEG 11 MIN N
88 DEG 53 MIN W
C. NA
D. 45 KT
E. 063 DEG 007 NM
F. 325 DEG 31 KT
G. 248 DEG 007 NM
H. EXTRAP 1006 MB
I. 24 C/ 339 M
J. 26 C/ 336 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. OPEN NE
M. C20
N. 12345/1
O. 1/1 NM
P. AF963 0302A INVEST OB 21
MAX FL WIND 53 KT SE QUAD 2149Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Check the storm forum for my ideas on Bonnie...CAT V headed for Mobile...
Seriously, though, I don't think Bonnie will have too much of an affect on Sir Charles...which might not be a good thing. I see as more of a w GOM storm, while Bonnie looks to be taking aim at the Large Bend
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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On their way home.
Bill
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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97779-header; 00204-0204Z; 30259-25.9N; 88000-88.0W 73600-flying at 736mb level; 99005- winds variable at 5kts; 66742- air temp minus16C, dewpoint minus24C, /5763- has to do with pressure altitude-I'll check on it.
temperatures below 0C have 50 added to them. eg 66-50=16, 74-50=24
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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URNT11 KNHC 100036
97779 00364 30273 88300 73800 99005 67742 /5763
RMK AF963 0302A INVEST OB 25. LAST REPORT
recon heading home.... thanx bill!
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SirCane
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
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Things are getting interesting around here-that's for sure. I just get nightmares from Opal that I'm going to wake up and Bonnie's going to be this big monster.
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Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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Vortez message just a couple of hours prior to this one had basically the same information - pressure at 1006, except it report a closed eye wall on the earlier report...actually open up on this latest report (NE)....both had max flight winds at 53k.... this thing is awfully tight and small, not sure in the final analysis if this will be a good or bad thing... being this small.... still looks to be heading off somewhere between WNW and NW at about 8-12 mph.... certainly holding its own and that does not bode well as it moves northwestward toward a more favorable environment... its not getting any weaker that's for sure...
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Old Sailor
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 293
Loc: Florida
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What is strange eye wall not closed on last readings. L. OPEN NE............ L. is for the strom center on Recon data, was I the only one that seen that? maybe just a temp thing.
Dave
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Old Sailor
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 293
Loc: Florida
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Sorry Frank guess I was typing my post while you did the same just before me.
Dave
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