tenavilla
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 95
Loc: Tampa Area
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Where do you get the new models from? Those other websites don't update them often enough.
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kelcot
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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I'm tellin' ya'll I have a no fail prediction system. (within 50 miles)
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Kelly
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 296
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umich.....here's the link:
http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/model/model.html
I use the link most often.
Edited by MrSpock (Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM)
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KJJBCr
Unregistered
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I just realized that Charlie was in exactly the same place as is now exactly one month ago. Look at one of the interactive sites where you can see the path of prior storms. Sept. 11, I van. August 11, Charlie. Kinda freaky.
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>>> but it's gaining latitude slowly, and moving that longitudal line more to the west as well, which means its going to the GOM.... and most likely Coooba...... then..... ??
well...if I lived on a boat...and that boat was in the GOM (sort of)...perhaps a bay bordering the GOM...then...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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recmod
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 188
Loc: Orlando, FL
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starting to see a NW wobble right now....has lasted the past 3 frames on IR. If this keeps up...........
Lou
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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For the and ETA NCEP
Bill
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Quote:
Where do you get the new models from? Those other websites don't update them often enough.
'
What sites are you looking at ?
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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tenavilla
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 95
Loc: Tampa Area
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The links on this site to the spaghetti models. Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. The wunderground still had runs from yesterday until a few minutes ago.
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rule
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
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Anyone got an idea on 's current strength?
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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Hurricane Alley has converted over to "for pay" for the charts and stuff, like the spaghetti models. Weather Underground is still free as far as I know, but they don't show as many models and sometimes are a little behind on updating the graphic.
Bill
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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Like it or not the Canadian has probably been as accurate as any other model to date with , it has always been the western outlier, but has been following the left side of the forecast track for days... maybe the Canadian is on to something..... last Tuesday it basically said New Orleans.... then during the week it shifted east, but not as much as the others, and the last several runs takes it to back SE LA and MS.... I don't buy that scenario yet, as I still think it will be the western panhandle... but its something that you still have to consider.... 96 hours out here's the poop.... literally..
http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/134_50.gif
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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The hasn't done that bad either .
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Yeah...they did that during ...Mike is promising us he won't have to convert to PPV, and all your contributions are helping ensure we stay ad-free, non-pay per view.
I don't wanna pimp for Mike, but anything you can paypal him would be great. he's done amazing work keeping this site up over the past few...even a couple of bucks will cover the new server he's gonna have in place next week...
Back to the wx, I say we got our selves one bad mother next week...let's hope someone can get a handle on his forward motion and tame his CAT V side.
Peace & god bless Grand Cayman Island...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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yeah LIPhil, I don't think I'd like to be on any kinda boat on any kinda bay with this monster coming at me.... . unless it was on the USS Alabama, which is sitting in a certain bay stuck deep in the mud and not going anywhere.... hehe
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Nogaps has been doing good on track. Just find it curious that it is definately too high on the pressures. Then again, I can not recall seeing any model that has been handling that really well.
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Londovir
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 112
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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For anyone who is interested, attached to this post is a new version of my Recon Decoder tool. There are some new features:
- Vortex Recons Decoding now better differentiates between the maximum flight level winds detected near the center and the maximum flight level winds overall (usually mentioned in remarks). There was some confusion the other (last?) night over the way my decoder was reporting the mfl winds.
- Decoder now offers decoding of Vortex Supplementary reports. These are the reports the planes make as they fly into and out of the storm. Useful for reporting the winds measured on both passes.
- Supplementary reports cleaned up into a nice table format. (Still working on cleaning up the Vortex report)
How to use:
- Save the attachment to your computer as "decoder.html" (any name is fine, but change the .txt to .html when you save)
- Load the file with your web browser's File->Open ability.
- Click the link for the desired report. A new browser window will open.
- Highlight and "Copy" the entire report from the new window. Close the window if you wish.
- "Paste" the report into the box on the decoder page.
- Click the "Decode" button.
I'm heading on to adding Tropical RECCO report handling next.
Cheers!
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Londovir
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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see the latest run of the .... it gave birth during the run, either that of it took a big dum$........ i think it did this for too.....hehe... but I agree its done well....
seems like is looking like he's moving more around 295-300 degrees during the past hour, a little more north than previous, and presently heading right at the Caymans...
ouch....
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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FYI Recon decoder posted at http://flhurricane.com/recondecoder.html
for you to use.
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Tazmanian93
Unregistered
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Hello all, alll I can say is WOW, many uneasy folks in many places right now past,present and future. Anyone see anything pulses, troughs West to East, North to South, anything that would lead you to believe this would somehow make it back to the Tampa area as a projected LF?
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