rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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The has done its best with forecasting the trended path of the Terrible - based on all the variables and on the human component- but anyone within the dreaded cone should assume they are within the target- it does not matter where the eye goes- as everyone in my neck of the woods can recall ' trended path..
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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they are still predicting a turn to the ne but they are saying it is gonna to be later than originally thought. that is why the track is going west. be interesting at 4 to see the updated track. has the 1 come out yet? on central time here.
Edited by andy1tom (Tue Sep 14 2004 01:38 PM)
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Thunder
Weather Watcher
Reged: Mon
Posts: 29
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
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Right on. Better safe than sorry. I need some sunlight in the back anyway.
I hope it stays west, but feel for those who take the brunt of this bugger. Yall screw your wigs on tight and stay safe! 
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storm chaser
Unregistered
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Quote:
they are still predicting a turn to the ne but they are saying it is gonna to be later than originally thought. that is why the track is going west. be interesting at 4 to see the updated track. has the 1 come out yet? on central time here.
I am still waiting for 1pm too. I guess we are back to the 2pm updates LOL
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> has the 1 come out yet? on central time here.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Interesting...they had Ed Rappaport on MSNBC showing . What I noticed was that as he was talking, he was pointing towards the center of . It may just be me, but I swear that for right now, is going due north. Especially after he put the little lines on either side of , you could see he was gaining latitude (NORTH). The 2pm and 5pm will be interesting. That being said, I wouldn't be surprised to see another track shift to the west, because everything I see seems to be the opposite of what they're saying. Go figure. 
*DISCLAIMER* This is only my eyes, not an official forecast.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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I turned on registered only posting for the talkbacks again. It'll be temporary, and all the other forums don't have this requirement. (I don't like having to do this because I think anyone should be able to post). But if you do register, it requires a valid email address (Which we'll keep private) and cookies enabled for this site.
- Mike
If you aren't registered here you can do so with this link The only requirement is the email address, (mainly to make it difficult for people to create multiple accounts and go crazy).
Any issue you can email me at mike@flhurricane.com (or mike.cornelius@gmaill.com )
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
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Ivan seems to be heading in a more NNW direction the last couple of hours. Will it continue?
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Not too much change (if any) from the 11:00. Still packing 140 mph winds, pressure 931mb. Still forecasted to his just west of rick & MBF.
This is not going to be pretty...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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MrSpock
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 296
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I was looking at the latest Vort message, saw a 1002 mb or something, and 52 kts.....and then I realized it was Jeanne.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Yeah, my heart skipped a couple happy beats until I saw it was Jeanne, too. Drats. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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I'm pretty sure that is just some wobble but interested to see how it adds up at the 5pm adv.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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okiherdu
Registered User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2
Loc: Florida
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Quote:
"I have lived in Tampa my entire life, 46 years, and have seen a lot of strange things happen with these storms. With a major Hurricane entering the Gulf of Mexico that is still South of my location, the wood stays up!"
Well, I havn't lived here quite as long (only since 1967) but I have been through 4 of these things (no permanent damage with any of them, but certainly enough around me to make me sit up and take notice.......certainly enough to make me agree with the above quote. Speaking for myself, I am far from as knowlegable as most people posting here.......just trying to be practical.
Good luck and prayers for all.
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luki
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Tue
Posts: 17
Loc: palm beach county
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can anyone tell me whats going on in Panama City as for evacs,expected weather and such,hubby is working over there right on the bay and im getting very concerned as he isnt telling me weather they are evacuating and what not
Thanks
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LI Phil
User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> can anyone tell me whats going on in Panama City as for evacs,expected weather and such
Coop? JK? A1T?
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Low lying areas, Evac zones 1,2 & 3 at this time.
Let me double check the Zone 3 but I think that is correct.
http://www.pcbaygis.com/
You can check your location if needed there.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
Edited by Storm Cooper (Tue Sep 14 2004 02:05 PM)
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doug
Weather Analyst
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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Ivan right on its projectd path. digested the dry air pretty well and is re grouping. Unusually dry air over the Florida peninsula however around Tampa, resulting in evaporation of precip. This was not expected.
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doug
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clueless
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 23
Loc: Orlando, FL
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We here in Florida never expect dry air, but are usually grateful when we see it - right now we have to be mindful of the fact that it is going to come at the gret expense of others - for now we will watch and pray and then turn our sights to Jeanne
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luki
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Tue
Posts: 17
Loc: palm beach county
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Quote:
>>> can anyone tell me whats going on in Panama City as for evacs,expected weather and such
Coop? JK? A1T?
nto really sure west bay? i think its hes right off rt 98
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Last post I made has that info.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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