News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: GOM? [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #32317 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:00 PM

If Jeanne is supposedly heading anything but West. Then why is the grid line constantly visible in the lower part of the eye. I'm refering to the Weather Channel graphics.
Dr Steve just said "It hasn't made the turn yet". Hold your comments LIPhil.
BTW- NHC storm movement directions ARE averaged over a period of time and not necessarily the direction of movement from one Advisory to the next.


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Bloodstar
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 462
Loc: Tucson, AZ
forecast points for 11pm [Re: MrSpock]
      #32318 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:00 PM

0300Z current: 27.2N 80.0W 100Kt winds
1200Z 29.2N 82.9W 65Kt
0000Z 33.0N 83.5W 40Kt

they're still sticking with tne NW turn


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FireAng85
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 76
Loc: Mount Dora, FL 32757
Re: LI Phil [Re: Colleen A.]
      #32319 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:00 PM

You Go Girl!!

--------------------
Angie Robertson
OCFRD
"So others may live"


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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Jeanne Still Heading West [Re: Lake Toho - Kissimmee]
      #32320 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:02 PM

Quick thx to my hommies out there...

Yeah, I pulled some strings, but they wouldn't have given me the time of day if it did not mean something.

WEATHER>>>JEANNE most important now

I'll hang around a minimum of an hour, unless you'd prefer I didn't..I got your storm surge maps, your up to date radars and your WV loops at the ready...

Just give me the word...I want to help.

I was tempted to go further (as in responding) but that's not what's important right now...your safety is...

Fire away and I will do what I can

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Liz L.
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 36
Loc: St Cloud, Florida
Re: LI Phil [Re: FireAng85]
      #32321 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:02 PM

10:58ish here still windy, but still have power. i wonder if we will be spared hurricane winds? i pray and hope.

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collegemom
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 82
Loc: Central Arkansas
Re: LI Phil [Re: BillD]
      #32322 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:02 PM

enough is enough
please stay on topic

--------------------
character has been defined as what we do when no one is looking


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anom
Unregistered




Re: forecast points for 11pm [Re: Bloodstar]
      #32323 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:02 PM

Quote:

0300Z current: 27.2N 80.0W 100Kt winds
1200Z 29.2N 82.9W 65Kt
0000Z 33.0N 83.5W 40Kt

they're still sticking with tne NW turn


follow the trends of the storm

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richisurfs
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 104
Loc: Indialantic,Florida
Re: LI Phil [Re: Colleen A.]
      #32324 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:02 PM

I'm sitting here in Indialantic finally going thru this thing and I don't have time to go in depth so I'll just say that if I did have the time I would have basically written exactly what Colleen just did. I stand behind you Phil!

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Liz L.
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 36
Loc: St Cloud, Florida
Re: LI Phil [Re: richisurfs]
      #32325 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:03 PM

please keep up the good work here i love coming here and reading the updates.

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: UPDATE [Re: danielw]
      #32327 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:04 PM

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004
...EYE WALL NOW IMPACTING EXTREME NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 10 PM...WIND REPORTS ACROSS PALM BEACH INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 74 MPH...PARTICULARLY AT WEST PALM BEACH. HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTS FROM THE JUPITER AREA INDICATED ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO 100 MPH CLOSER TO THE EYE WALL. ACROSS BROWARD COUNTY...WIND REPORTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY INDICATED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 TO 60 MPH. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF BROWARD COUNTY...WINDS REPORTS INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. WINDS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WERE MAINLY 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. AT 10 MPH...FOWEY ROCKS...JUST SOUTH OF KEY BISCAYNE...WAS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 TO 60 MPH.
*IN THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 TO 70 MPH. WINDS WERE MOSTLY IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA GUSTING CLOSE TO 35 MPH.


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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
Re: GOM? [Re: danielw]
      #32328 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:05 PM

It really seems that the NHC and Accu-weather are sticking to the bitter end with the northeast turn once it gets inland. But with the speed of Jeanne, wouldn't that make it harder to make that northerly turn and track it further into the GOM? The way this storm has been acting in the last 12 hours I have a gut feeling that Jeanne may become Ivanesque and track into the GOM and then head into Alabama and track near Atlanta...

No meterological basis for that statement, but just observations and feelings.

Also, Georgia gubbanah Sonny Purdue has just issued a state of emergency for the entire state...I wonder if he knows something that the NHC may not know?

--------------------
You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!


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AdvAutoBob
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 35
Loc: Cape Coral, FL
Re: tensions [Re: MrSpock]
      #32329 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:06 PM

First off... though I've just started posting pretty heavily tonight, I HAVE been lurking here off and on since 2003. That being said, I have nothing but RESPECT for Phil, as he understands what we in the line of fire are going through (both physically AND emotionally), and I ejnoy a chance to jump "off topic" to let off some steam. Kudos to him, Mike, Ed, HF, et al... and the rest of the regulars here. Tropical weather has been a hobby for me since I moved heer to Florida in 1973 as a wee lad of 9, and have learned more in the last 10 months here than in the previous years combined.. Once things clear up here, the FIRST thing I'm doing is chipping in to the new server fund.

rant off.... now i'm going to get my generator ready (just in case!)

Bob

--------------------
"Chance favors the prepared mind"


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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: LI Phil [Re: Liz L.]
      #32330 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:07 PM

Give us all you got Phil!! This is the NHC track versus where she is going. She is south of the forecast. That is why I am afraid this is a GOM and double landfall storm. Click on the forecast points.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html


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FlaRebel
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 59
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: LI Phil [Re: FlaRebel]
      #32331 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:08 PM

Hope she holds off do I can get in 18 tomorrow morning.

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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Re: LI Phil [Re: Colleen A.]
      #32332 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:09 PM

I want to echo Colleen's comments on Phil... this guy has busted his ass to help the entire CFHC family.... I'm not even really sure what transpired tonight should have elevated to the level its at, but I know this... NO ONE has put in more quality time and effort in trying to moderate this board under what has to be considered as extraordinary events that has affected so many of us over the past several weeks... you asked for something from Phil and it you get it... he is a tremendous assest to this web site... the site is at unparalled popularity and membership... and Phil's recent contributions over the past several months are directly related to that success... one of the best decisions Mike and Ed made was appointing Phil as a moderator... it was a stroke of genius .... and I really don't want him to leave our site when it really is starting to pay big dividends to the CFHC members, and others who use this site as a source of tropical information...

anyone want to delete my post fine.... as least I've said my piece...

Frank P


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AdmittedHacker
Unregistered




Re: Jeanne Still Heading West [Re: Lake Toho - Kissimmee]
      #32333 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:09 PM

LakeToho... I don't see Jeanne north of the lake yet. The south edge of Jeanne's eyewall is right on the Martin County/Palm Beach County line... which is just about the centerline of the lake, is it not?

I still see primarily westerly movement. Waiting for that turn...

AdmittedHacker


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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
Re: LI Phil [Re: Frank P]
      #32334 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:09 PM

New thread posted......

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: LI Phil [Re: FlaRebel]
      #32335 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:11 PM

Forecast points. Somebody forgot to tell Jeanne she was supposed to turn.
LIPhil-WE are ready when your are. You got any of them Mike Size Maps??


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gailwarning
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 35
Loc: Satellite Beach FL
Re: LI Phil [Re: richisurfs]
      #32336 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:13 PM

Quote:

I'm sitting here in Indialantic finally going thru this thing and I don't have time to go in depth so I'll just say that if I did have the time I would have basically written exactly what Colleen just did. I stand behind you Phil!




Tell us what it's like there!


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RevUp
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 181
Loc:
Re: GOM? [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #32338 - Sat Sep 25 2004 11:15 PM

Quote:

It seems that the NHC is sticking to the bitter end with the northeast turn once it gets inland. But with the speed of Jeanne, wouldn't that make it harder to make that northerly turn and track it further into the GOM? The way this storm has been acting in the last 12 hours I have a gut feeling that Jeanne may become Ivanesque and track into the GOM and then head into Alabama and track near Atlanta...


If I'm not mistaken, latest NHC track does take Jeanne across Florida, very briefly into the Gulf near Cedar Key, with a turn to the north, then NE thru GA. Quick weakening after moving inland also! It can't weaken fast enough!

--------------------
"Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."


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