MikeG
Unregistered
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interesting the fsu 2005062100 is trying to pick up something strong over the yucatan and move it north in 6-8 days into GOM....from 72 to 120hrs....looks like it comes from the east pacific and merges with something where formed....long summer ahead...... clark how has the done this year?
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doug
Weather Analyst
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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HF has hit on something...look ahead...the ingredients seem to be in place for some West Carribean vulnerability 3 days or so out. If the pattern continues to change, and the trough moves out, and high pressure aloft follows in behind, as it does, lower pressures will develop there both indigenously and from the wave entering from the east. The high prssure aloft may be the oven necessary to "bake" those ingredients into something tangible.
Will watch this daily into the weekend to see what goes.
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doug
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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MikeG -- has been a bit hyperactive this year, but it didn't missed either or Adrian. I'd not really count on that solution coming true...tropical cyclones don't develop over land like that.
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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My thoughts exactly. I'll be heading to Tampa tomorrow and will be back before the weekend in time to see a disturbance develop (?)
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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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lysis-in-TX
Unregistered
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Newer runs stick the system into a slightly more plausible location just east of the Yucatan peninsula (as opposed to developing directly over it).
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