Marco island =[
Unregistered
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i just checked the last load of waypoints theres been a more northward trend in but not enogh for it to hit MIA not direcly anyway!
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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Looks like many of the models moved west again.. LOL..But they all appear to have a consenus of Florida/Alabama Line. So hey maybe they are on to something.. then again, maybe not..
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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StormHound
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
"My advice, from having experienced the exact scenario above is to protect yourself where you are unless you have a VERY good reason for being elsewhere. i.e. You live in a mobile home. "
I TOTALLY disagree with this advice. I have been thru a ton of cains since the 60's down here in Florida and I can tell everyone that it is ALWAYS better to evacuate A and B zones than to ride it out. In one cain in the 60's, we were told to evacuate and didn't.. it was just a Cat 3 we said. We sat thru the winds but didn't expect 15' high walls of water to come cascading down on us 1/2 mile from the Gulf of Mexico. Eventually we were under 9 feet of water on the island.
My point is, while some say they have riden storms out, they have been LUCKY. Don't risk your life - follow emergency management's decision for your area. and zone.
I cannot agree more with Red. Every 50 miles inland is a huge difference in terms of hurricane strength. While the hurricanes caused much distruction in Central Florida, it was generally not life threatening. Even without the windows boarded up, you can ride out a storm in a small-windowless room in the center of the house. It is much better to be in a house which has lost shingles and has water coming in, then a house without a roof or walls. If ordered to evacuate, do so.
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Storm Hound
Computer Geek
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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It might have been correct. They do post observations on their way to their destination, and on the way back, so everyone can keep tabs on where they are. These planes fly out of locations around the SE US and the Caribbean, so it is not unusual to see coordinates far away from the storm, but usually right at the beginning of a run or end..
Bill
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Actaully, I have been watching all 6 of those models and 4 panel for and as of right now, nothing from most of the perspectoves has changed since was named.
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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StormHound
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
i just checked the last load of waypoints theres been a more northward trend in but not enogh for it to hit MIA not direcly anyway!
Even if it did hit Miami somehow, it would have traveled across the state of Florida to get there. Miami would be looking at something less than full strength Hurricane .
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Storm Hound
Computer Geek
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Old Sailor
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 293
Loc: Florida
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Latest Model run....
web page
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pcola
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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As a Pensacola resident, I can say nothing is so frightening as seeing Jim Cantore from the weather channel on Pensacola Beach....he is here again!
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 184
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Yeah they all seem pretty set...guess it's just who the winner/loser is.
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Bev
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 132
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL and Abaco, ...
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Quote:
"My advice, from having experienced the exact scenario above is to protect yourself where you are unless you have a VERY good reason for being elsewhere. i.e. You live in a mobile home. "
<snip>....My point is, while some say they have riden storms out, they have been LUCKY. Don't risk your life - follow emergency management's decision for your area. and zone.
You missed my point entirely. My point was that you just might have to "ride it out" no matter where you evacuate to, so you should be prepared to do exactly that, whether you stay where you are or flee to a county that isn't even under an evacuation order.
I fled because they told me to flee. The windspeed where I fled from never got above 40 mph. I went where they told me to go. There, the windspeed was 140 mph.
That's my point, you simply cannot KNOW where you will be safe, and neither can the experts. Be prepared, prepared, prepared, wherever you are.
I wasn't trying to be brave and ride it out, I was fleeing, trying to keep my family safe. After my experience, I realize that some common sense is in order and that the "officials" don't always have a perfect handle on it.
I had hoped for intelligent discussion on how to protect yourself where you are, and not always relying on "head somewhere else". Because sometimes you can't head somewhere else, you find it on your heels despite trying to get away from it. I am not a brave advocate of "riding it out",. I'm simply a concerned mother trying to keep my family safe.
-Bev
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 184
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Usually that means where it won't go.
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javlin
Weather Master
Reged: Wed
Posts: 410
Loc: Biloxi,MS
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Then you are lucky I thought hwere ever Jim went the Hurricane was sure not to come.If you do not want him send him our way a little insurance never hurt no one.
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Marco island =[
Unregistered
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Any one think marco has a chance of being hit, my grandma is getting worried and is on about evacu??? i wanna stay and wacth it from the beach=]
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Lysis
User
Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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uh... wow! The hurricane city broadcast keeps bieng cut in by Will and Grace (they got struck by lightning).
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cheers
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Terra
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Quote:
Any one think marco has a chance of being hit, my grandma is getting worried and is on about evacu??? i wanna stay and wacth it from the beach=]
Not a particularly good idea if it does come your way....
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
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If people are planning on evacuating into Georgia, your best bet would be anywhere on the eastern part of the state say from Macon to Augusta. The Columbus area got hit pretty hard last night as well as the southern metro counties of Atlanta.
Someone correct me if I'm wrong, or it maybe the 2 hours sleep I had last night, but if some of the models are showing to take a Florida/Alabama track, wouldn't that give it the exact same track as from last year?
If it is the case, I think I may need to re-inflate my water wings here because Atlanta can't take any more heavy rain....
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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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CMC Model still shows the same track.. Amazing UK MET and have barely moved off their tracks.
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 184
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Your local EOC will have evac info...won't comment about you wanting to stay & watch from the beach.
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KC
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Sun
Posts: 87
Loc: Naples, FL
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Uh-oh - Jim Cantore is now live from Pensacola. Sorry, but I'm happy he isn't in Naples! Collier County Commissioners have called an emergency meeting at 8:30 am Friday morning and I'm guessing they will probably call for a state of emergency unless there is a drastic change for the better overnight. Stores were busy this afternoon but not crazy, same with gas stations. Just moved my orchids from the lanai to the bathtub (aka their summer home) so there is not as much to do tomorrow. Stay safe everyone!
Karen
Naples, FL
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Marco island =[
Unregistered
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Quote:
Quote:
Any one think marco has a chance of being hit, my grandma is getting worried and is on about evacu??? i wanna stay and wacth it from the beach=]
Not a particularly good idea if it does come your way....
LoL
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