News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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FireAng85
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 76
Loc: Mount Dora, FL 32757
Re: making landfall soon [Re: tornado00]
      #40078 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:30 PM

Hey Poetdi and whoever else is in Maitland, I live in Sorrento and work in Apopka. Pretty close, huh?

--------------------
Angie Robertson
OCFRD
"So others may live"


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Katie
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: FireAng85]
      #40079 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:32 PM

Well, I am going to try to sneak over to my grandfather's house this weekend so i can check in. Still haven't ordered a new computer yet, but if I don't make it before he hits - best of luck to anyone in his path. Be safe and be careful.
Hoping for the best.


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: tornado00]
      #40081 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:36 PM

Dennis is over land still for the most part moving along the NHC's track. I hope it doesn't slow or stall in the Gulf. I don't think it will stall anyway. It's still going to rain here quite a bit in Central Florida, I think, and the pressure gradients will keep it a little breezy tomorrow and sunday.

It's ok, I'm living in Maitland (well on the maitland/altamonte border) too just off Mailtland Blvd and 434. But yea, that's off topic. Move that to the E/N forum.



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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: making landfall soon [Re: Katie]
      #40082 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:40 PM

Well..here's a weather update from Central Florida. I went to pick up my kids, and we just had a feeder band come through (at least that's what they're calling it on the local wx stations) that dropped at LEAST 1" of rain here. The trees were bending over quite a bit with the winds blowing so hard and the lightning was pretty intense. Also noticed that the rain was sideways, then blowing s/n, then back to n/s. The temperature in my car dropped from 97 to 69 in about 15 minutes time. I've driven through a lot of storms here, and I've never seen it drop THAT much.
If this is an indication of things to come, I'm not looking forward to it.
Not that anyone else is, either.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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nandav
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 37
Loc: Pt. Charlotte, FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40083 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:42 PM

The link that DougYD posted shows that what you just had and what we are seeing here in SW Florida are definitely feeder bands... IMHO

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SkeetoBiteAdministrator
Master of Maps


Reged: Sun
Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40084 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:44 PM

Colleen,

I was wondering if you were around to notice that. Absolutely the most energetic little piece of activity we've had so far this year. That was crazy.


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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 427
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
Re: making landfall soon [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #40085 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:47 PM

It's going to be a wet and windy weekend for us in East Central Florida. Hold on to your hats in West Florida!

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________2024 Forecast: 28/14/8________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator


Reged: Tue
Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: MikeC]
      #40086 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:47 PM

belle isle here - need admin work, let me know.

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KC
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sun
Posts: 87
Loc: Naples, FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #40087 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:48 PM

5pm update has been posted on wunderground.com.

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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: making landfall soon [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #40088 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:48 PM

Well here in Riverview we just got a little taste of the first band....and it rained for like a second literally...and now it has stopped....although on the radar we are expected a pretty intense storm....i hope all is safe and Dennis STAY THE H*LL AWAY FROM US!!!!

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: making landfall soon [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #40089 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:48 PM

5pm is out

WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS CONTINUED TO OCCUR...AS IS TYPICAL OF A
MAJOR HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY MOVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH Dennis IS STILL A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST AS Dennis MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM. EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AS Dennis MADE
LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...A SUSTAINED WIND
OF 99 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH A GUST WIND GUST TO 149 MPH...240
KM/HR...WAS MEASURED IN CIENFUEGOS...AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE WAS ALSO
REPORTED.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 949 MB...28.02 INCHES.


--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed

Edited by Tazmanian93 (Fri Jul 08 2005 04:49 PM)


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: making landfall soon [Re: SkeetoBite]
      #40090 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:49 PM

Yes, and every minute or so, the thunder is rumbling, brief downpour, gusts and then it stops. This is worse than what we got with Charley...my kids are hiding in the closet already! It completely flooded out the street I turn onto (Lake Seward) to go into my subdivision. And we're only supposed to get 1-3" or rain??? I don't think so....

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: making landfall soon [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40092 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:54 PM

Well, the 5pm track is pretty much the same as it has been for 4 days..westen panhandle......

--------------------
Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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OcalaKT
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 27
Re: making landfall soon [Re: jr928]
      #40093 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:55 PM

Quote:

You guys remember the hurricane that did a full 360 a few years back. Not many models had that in store either. Models are just that, MODELS.




I think that was Betsy, sometime in the 60's. She passed by Miami out in the Atlantic, went up even with Jacksonville, then did a 360 and came back and hit Miami, then went out into the Gulf and went up and hit Louisiana, I think. I went through Besty as a little girl.


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DennisHerman
Registered User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 5
Cool page of auto-updated images [Re: KC]
      #40094 - Fri Jul 08 2005 04:56 PM

here is a link to an interesting page I found last year (might have found it here). It has a large collection of current images that are auto-updated.

http://www.geocities.com/tropicwx/

Yes - my name is actually Dennis

Edited by DennisHerman (Fri Jul 08 2005 04:57 PM)


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jr928
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 101
Re: making landfall soon [Re: OcalaKT]
      #40095 - Fri Jul 08 2005 05:08 PM

yes, betsy it was!

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twizted sizter
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 184
Re: making landfall soon [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40096 - Fri Jul 08 2005 05:09 PM

Had it here too...made the power surge off twice already.

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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Cool page of auto-updated images [Re: DennisHerman]
      #40097 - Fri Jul 08 2005 05:15 PM

read 5pm disc......

take a look over texas and the ohio valley (WV image)
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/data/rmtcrso/79.jpg

web site with more links

i think some shear will begin to effect the storm starting late, saturday, but i am starting to think that Mobile-Pensacola may be a little far west. I am going to go with Navarre to Destin landfall right now and will make one last call when the recon data from today gets into tonights model runs.... I have a hunch that an ULL near the texan coast with help push the storm to the NW more....problem is, where will the weakness in the ridge be for Dennis when he hits the GOM and moves on a nw movement.......


here's good florida vis shot...
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellit...g&itype=vis
look at the T-storms over florida

Edited by Storm Hunter (Fri Jul 08 2005 05:23 PM)


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Dawn
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sun
Posts: 25
Loc: St. Petersburg FL
Re: making landfall soon [Re: RedingtonBeachGuy]
      #40098 - Fri Jul 08 2005 05:28 PM

Please you all - give me some guidance- I am so tired after making my parents and the customers at Home Depot happy, do I really need to worry or can I rest a minute before I secure our house. 27.88N x 82.87W. I have everything at home to live for five days but do I need more. Do I finish dropping the anwings or are we going be OK. My husband works with Hospice and won't be home till after the storm. It is up to me-please if you lived in St Petersburg would you worry?

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jth
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 275
Re: Cool page of auto-updated images [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #40099 - Fri Jul 08 2005 05:29 PM

I agree. I don't think the NW motion is in much doubt anymore. Now it really will just depend on a wobble here or there to determine exact landfall location. NHC is beginning to have much less doubt as per the last discussion. That ULL over LA moving south is providing an even better avenue for a NW motion. Look for landfall between Mobile and PCB. f I had to pinpoint, I would stick with Destin. Local mets here in Bham are hyping significant damage throughout the state if Dennis goes in around Gulf Shores and moves NNW.

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