News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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bn765
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 60
Re: Going West [Re: jr928]
      #40315 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:36 PM

Once this thing hits the gulf i know it will strengthen but how much does everyone think it will?? I predict it will be pretty significant and it will go back up to at least high category 3.

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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Tornado watches [Re: SirCane]
      #40316 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:36 PM

Down to Cat 2 at 11:00pm advisory. Not surprised. Spent too much time over Cuba.

--------------------
Jim


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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40317 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM

11 pm out at wunderground

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Good Links [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #40318 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM

Here's a great link to some awesome satellite imagery:

Wunderground Pix

Almost everything you want on one page.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator


Reged: Tue
Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40319 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM

http://www.nola.com/newsflash/louisiana/...ylist=louisiana

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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
11:00 forecast summary [Re: TDW]
      #40320 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:37 PM

July 8, 2005, 9:11 pm
Quick notes from the 9:00 NHC conference call.. all of this will be "official" on the 10:00 pm advisory.

Winds down to 95 knots
Pressure up to 962 mb
Latest position 23.0 N 82.1 W
Moving 310 degrees (NW) at 12 knots
Little change in forecast movement and track
Model consensus is still around Mobile to Pensacola
Considerable degradation over Cuba; even though satellite presentation showed "significant degradation," the inner core is still tight, and thus should lead to a quick reintensification once back over water.


Models... GFDL and GFS are to the right of the NHC track; the UKMET is to the left

Bottom line is no real change to previous thinking....


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OrlandoDan
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 443
Loc: Longwood, FL
Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40321 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:38 PM

Does anyone know how to get English radio over the Net out of Havanna? I mean, does some Canadian or Mexican or anybody other than a US Citizen know how to get Havanna English radio? I assume there must be English Havanna radio, but......Oh well, I will quickly digrese to my political views.

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mbfly
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 119
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40322 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:39 PM

Quote:

mbfly, Local news and a couple of web sites just announced it at 9:30 CDT.




Well, obviously I will need to pay attention at the upcoming report at 10 pm...... especially since I was planning on hunkering down right here in west Mobile !!!


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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: 85 degree water [Re: OrlandoDan]
      #40323 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:41 PM

I have never heard any english stations out of Cuba. There may be some; but certainly not any of the booming clear channel stations on AM radio.

--------------------
Jim


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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40324 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:43 PM

New Orleans now under a Tropical Storm Watch.....interesting to me that they added us to the watches.

--------------------
I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40325 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:43 PM

Does this thing move more north during the day and more west at night? It's northwest motion is so unpredictable...

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: 11:00 forecast summary [Re: Frank P]
      #40326 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:45 PM

My rough guess is that at current motion and speed, Denis emerges from Cuba in about two-three hours. I am sure he has left a very nasty swath through Cuba. I was listening to what i could get from the hurricane net on my ham radio early. My antenna stinks, so I really was unable to pick up any of the Cuban stations. Was hearing mostly reports from the Keys, though.

--------------------
Jim


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: 11:00 forecast summary [Re: Frank P]
      #40327 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:45 PM

Thanks for that post, Frank. I'm not even going to ask you how you got in on the conference call; you might have to kill me.

So basically, everyone's in the same boat we were 6 hours ago. At least most of us knowwhat to expect. I just hope it doesn't bomb out again on it's way up to the Panhandle. My heart really goes out to everyone up there in harms way.
Check back in a little while.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator


Reged: Tue
Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
Re: 85 degree water [Re: OrlandoDan]
      #40328 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:46 PM

http://www.radiohc.org/english.html

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bamffl
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 20
Loc: Tampa, FL
Maybe it's just me... [Re: BillD]
      #40329 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:48 PM

Does anyone know if the powers that be (NWS, NHC, etc.) buy discount keyboards that have stuck Caps-Lock keys? Very minor nit-pick, I know, but why in the heck are all the advisories in all caps? Sorry, this is probably WAY OT...

--------------------
You're just jealous because you can't hear the voices...


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msmith43
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 18
Loc: South Tampa
Re: 11:00 forecast summary [Re: Frank P]
      #40330 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:48 PM

Anything in the recent advisories/conference calls/etc. to explain the "little bump" in the GFS model?

Edited by msmith43 (Fri Jul 08 2005 10:50 PM)


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
Thus far NHC has been magnificant... [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40331 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:52 PM

Got to give kudos to the NHC, thus far they have pretty much nailed this storm relative to its projected track... now they are going to have to earn their pay because a lot of lives are at stake..... I think the forecast track may have shifted a few miles west, but basically insignificant... For Pensacola's sake I hope it starts trending back to the east... boy, I just can't image the stress on those poor people...

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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Maybe it's just me... [Re: bamffl]
      #40332 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:53 PM

Holdover from the teletype weather wire days. I think it is an international standard that advisories be issued in all caps. Probably would have to be a change at the World Meteorlogical Organization level to change it.

--------------------
Jim


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MarcoResi
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 33
Loc:
massive thunderstorm!! [Re: Rasvar]
      #40333 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:58 PM

Marco is getting a lot of lightning right now and the palms have started to sway a little. I just hope that Easten high stays there

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OrlandoDan
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 443
Loc: Longwood, FL
Re: Maybe it's just me... [Re: bamffl]
      #40334 - Fri Jul 08 2005 10:58 PM

I Agree. This is a hold-over of the old COBOL/Assembler/FORTRAN LANGUAGE DAYS. wOOPS. I AM TYPEING IN ALL CAPS....:)

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