Ron Basso
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
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Quote:
Good morning all! I have been following this site since all the canes came through FL last year. I'm in NE Tampa. Scottsvb..pm me I think you're right up the road from me. Love the site - have learned so much more - thanks to all the mets/experts.
Now, Isn't the pulse digging off SE Texas pushing fast? This seems to me that this will take the storm a lot closer to the west coast of FL. And also isn't the hign in the Atlantic eroded significantly over the last couple of hours. I don't think ths will hit the west coast, but I think it could come with 40-70 miles.
What does everyone think??? Look at the latest WV's.
I think a lot of us are seeing the same thing. Again, Clark alluded to this in his blog yesterday. The models were simply not picking up on the strength of this feature. However, that said, a digging trough may act to pump up the ridge to the east so its not as clear cut as we think. But, the 18Z and models and the 00Z UKMET model have all trended more toward the east today. With the 18Z coming very close to maybe 50 miles offshore of Manatee Co. Now I see the 00Z Canadian has also trended east from Mobile to Destin. Not big shifts, but they all shifted their paths in the same direction. We'll have to see if this trend continues. Stay tuned....
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RJB
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Mike N
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 16
Loc: Tampa, FL
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Most definitely. Especially if it's a cat 3 or 4 passing Tampa.
Back to my earlier posts - what about the ridge eroding and the trough/pulse whatever it is digging deeper and faster than anticipated originally (off SE Texas). Any experts that can give some insight on that one. Thanks and stay tuned all night just in case.
As we learned last year with , until it's N of your lat, anything can happen.
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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does anyone know where to find all the maps that show the trough to the west and the high pressure to the east of fla? Cuz i cant find them anywhere. Thanks 
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garrison
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 23
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looks to me like the N wobble when it was clearing the N Cuba coast was just that, I expect rapid reintensification to CAT 3 by mid am, its aleady starting to get its a act together and its only been over water an hr
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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Dennis has all kinds of strange events going on....does it seem that the extreme eastern edge of is breaking off.....could it form a new Low??? Possibly seems to be heading for a merge with some moisture off of S. America........very long shot but possible for to form 2 lows??
He definately looks to me like a turn is in store.....to the East and a hit "obviously" North of Tampa........doesn't all this convection in the ESE quadrant worry anyone to the East of Florida???
We all hope we're wrong....not a fun time!!
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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(off-topic post removed)
ED
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 09 2005 10:28 AM)
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garrison
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 23
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if you are referring to the stuff south of the everglades.Miami, it looks to me like its well withing the overall circulation and once compresses, so will it
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StormSurfer
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 11
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Why does my Gut tell me he's going to come alot more closer to Tampa than we expected and we're gonna see a turn. Looks like it from the latest models to me.
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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a lot of people are getting the "gut feeling" now. that wouldnt be good if it came for Tampa, but hey, i think were way overdue for a big one. 
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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well the wind is starting to pick up here....altho no more thunder....and no rain yet....key word there.... 
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
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This pretty much is my last post b4 turnin in for the nite. I'm looking on the long range key west radar and this storm looks almost stationary to me. If its moving, it might be a slow drift to the NW. It's Havana Daydreamin'
Looks to be reorganizing very quickly too. Goodnight.
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RJB
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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and that is not good. the more time it is in those warm waters with low shear the stonger it can possiblly get.
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Nate
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
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Looks like its moving North at a NorthWest angel.
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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yeh it does 
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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Can we get that link for the water vapor imagery over GOM again.....PLease!!
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dolfinatic
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 129
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
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Mike N
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 16
Loc: Tampa, FL
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Off subject but how can you tell if someone is online to respond to a PM?? Thanks.
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Terra
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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You're new messages thingy on top will flash.
Let me be more professional.... The link at the top of your screen, near where it says who you are logged in at.... will blink, encouraging you to view your unread messages. If you wish to read older messages and do not have any unread messags, you may click on the link "settings."
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Terra Dassau Cahill
Edited by Terra (Sat Jul 09 2005 02:03 AM)
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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yup....here comes another stronger wave from the trough out of Texas and and it should mean an Easterly turn unfortunately.....I still think he has a few odd features right now......and is he stalled out slightly??
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adogg76
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 53
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(off topic post removed)
ED
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 09 2005 10:30 AM)
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