Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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Agreed! My IR sat looks to be a N mvt. and longer that a wobble.
JK just now metioned the north motion being possible so it may be so.
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
Edited by Storm Cooper (Sat Jul 09 2005 08:02 PM)
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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that isjust what i was thinking... ?this is a long wobble? 
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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I just looked at the water vapor loop... I agree with you guys, looks like a definite move north... lets see if it continues...
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Last frame of the radar loop shows a NW movement again.
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Michael
PWS
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pcola
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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It looks like is taking steps.. did this..but from the other direction..looks like he is still pretty close to the track
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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BillD
User
Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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The 8:00 PM Position is 26.2 N 85.0 W, 7:00 PM was 26.1 N 84.9 W.
Update: I thought I should include the actual statement, since the is using the same tool we are (radar) to make this determination! 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM KEY WEST AND TAMPA
INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH
OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI
MISSISSIPPI.
FORECASTER BEVEN
Bill
Edited by BillD (Sat Jul 09 2005 08:13 PM)
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CentralFlorida
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sun
Posts: 27
Loc: Port Richey FL
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I agree with the north movement was just watching the local tampa doppler radar. http://www.baynews9.com/StateDoppler.html
now looks like back to nw movement
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Survived Charley, Jeanne, Frances, Ivan and my Wife
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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist
Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
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It's defintely moving more north, but it cannot be considered more than a wobble at this point. When it moved west for 9 hours over Cuba it was a wobble and everyone disputed the westward movement. Now it moves north for 30 minutes and it's a definitive movement??
It's surely trending more north, but will it hold......that's the question.
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I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!
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Allison
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
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Quote:
stormchazer -- probably just a sign of the differentiation between the well-defined core of the storm and an outer convective band and not a sign of dry air entrainment. I could be wrong, but I don't believe that there is dry air becoming entrained into the storm.
The last few frames of the WV loop shows dry air building in the Bay of Campeche. But you're right, it doesn't appear to be affecting at this time.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
Allison
Edited by Allison (Sat Jul 09 2005 08:13 PM)
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G. J.
Weather Watcher
Reged: Thu
Posts: 30
Loc: Tampa, FL
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What is crazy to me, is that this monster is just SW of Tampa. I know it's not going to come my way, but damn if it did it would absolutely cause pandamonium on a scale never seen before. It's soo close to me right now, and no harm (yet), but it will be reaking havok on someone far away in 24 hours. Crazy.
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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If he is wobbling between N and NW then it averages out to be NNW, which is basically what the has forecasted.... we are looking at this system very hard tonight... my evacuation plan will be to leave early in the am before 5:00 am and ride out the storm at the MS Power Plant, where my wife works... but only if it deviates any at all from the forecast track to the west... there will be no sleep tonight I'm pretty sure... worse case scenario would be for to hit to our west, which would probably put a surge of 15-18 feet along the MS Coast... I'm 20 feet above sea level on the beach... not a very pleasent thought.... my prayers and thoughts go out to the poor unfortunate people of the Panhandle and the Al coast... tomorrow will be an historic weather event
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Incredible transformation last few hours http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellit...&duration=0
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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agreed G.J.
it almost seems surreal.
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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
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Minimum Pressure: 942 Millibars (27.816 Inches) pressure down i think this will qualify as expolsive deepening
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Storm Cooper
User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
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I know a few here who won't sleep much 
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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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hurricane hunters say pressure has dropped another 5mb
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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Storm, you are definitely in harms way Buddy...
good luck
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Littlebit
Weather Watcher
Reged: Fri
Posts: 47
Loc: Plant City, FL
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I agree also G.J. I'm in Plant City and it's very scary to see this monster so close on the radar. We've had some pretty good feeder bands through here with some major wind gusts. A few branches down, but that's it so far. Can't wait until it gets past us. My thoughts and prayers go out to all in ' path. Stay safe everyone!
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sprghill
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 13
Loc: Lake County, FL
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is there anyway this could make a hard right and go for tampa 
Edited by danielw (Sat Jul 09 2005 08:34 PM)
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stormchazer
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
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Could if conditions were right. Conditions are not right! It could pass a little closer then forecast but is going North so relax....but be attentive!
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Jara
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