News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: sprghill]
      #41095 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:26 PM

Quote:

is there anyway this could make a hard right and go for tampa


Highly doubtful at this time.

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Michael

PWS


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: stormchazer]
      #41096 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:26 PM

well put

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Prospero
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: sprghill]
      #41097 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:27 PM

Having some of our more respectable winds right now in Sun City Center.
Some tree debris in yards.

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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams


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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: sprghill]
      #41098 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:27 PM

Quote:

is there anyway this could make a hard right and go for tampa




Of course there is always a chance, but the odds of that happening now are EXTREMELY low.

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I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Pressure Drop [Re: hurricane_run]
      #41099 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:29 PM

Almost back to 938, and back to 6.0 on Dvorak, incredible recovery!!!! Runing through part of the GOM w/ 90 deg temps, and this thing is breathing heavy!!!!

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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Prospero]
      #41100 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:29 PM

Quote:

Having some of our more respectable winds right now in Sun City Center.
Some tree debris in yards.


Last obs from the St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport (NWS station) had winds of 29 MPH sustained with gusts to 43 MPH (7:53 PM)

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Michael

PWS


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Pressure Drop [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41101 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:30 PM

look on the ir how the trough is ventlating it up to the north

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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: MichaelA]
      #41102 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:31 PM

Hurricanes are to be respected in terms of what they have done in the past. The unthinkable should not be ignored but the probable should be the thing focused on.
In otherwords: Jeanne, Lenny, and Gordon are a few who did things that most people did not think of, but it is probable that this hurricane will do What the NHC says it will do within a 100 miles east or west.

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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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Prospero
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: MichaelA]
      #41103 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:31 PM

It's a storm alright.

I love it as long as it does no damage, or anyone loses power.

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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams


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KimmieL
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 26
Loc: Baton Rouge, La
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: MichaelA]
      #41104 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:32 PM

Just saw where the eye is only 10 miles wide.....amazing!

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #41105 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:33 PM

Latest Tampa Bay radar loop seems to be confirming a more NNW movement.

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Michael

PWS


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Storm Cooper]
      #41107 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:35 PM

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE IMPACTED !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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firestar_1
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Tue
Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: KimmieL]
      #41108 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:35 PM

Just looking at the Dvorak IR and it looks like there are two eye walls....does anyone know if it has started an eye wall replacement cycle yet?

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Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....


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jr928
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 101
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #41109 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:36 PM

I remain amazed that noone is talking about the trough that was supposed to steer it north. if the trough ain't there, then the north ain't happening, like several models have said, ms bound

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bn765
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 60
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: jr928]
      #41110 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:38 PM

CNN just had an update and the met said that it would make landfall at 140mph.....take that for it whats its worth

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: jr928]
      #41111 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:39 PM

Quote:

I remain amazed that noone is talking about the trough that was supposed to steer it north. if the trough ain't there, then the north ain't happening, like several models have said, ms bound


Dennis is overpowering the trough. Prevailing winds over the gulf remain from the SW. I see little reason to believe that the NHC forecast track will not verify (give or take 50 miles).

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Michael

PWS


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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Reasoning behind more northerly movement [Re: MikeC]
      #41113 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:40 PM

Reasoning behind the northward motion and why it may not be a temporary wobble have been posted to the met. blogs. It has to do with the upper-level winds and the recent rapid intensification of the storm -- it is now feeling a different subset of upper-level winds since it is a deeper storm, winds which are moreso aiming towards the north than the northwest.

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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: jr928]
      #41114 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:40 PM

I think the steering involved a little more then the "trough". We are all watching and waiting.

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Jara

*************************************************************


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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: jr928]
      #41115 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:40 PM

Was watching CNN at 830pm and the radar they were using, it looked like Dennis was making a more Northerly turn, even the weather person stated that as well...

I may not be reading it correctly, but it is interesting....

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You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!


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mud1967
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 42
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Special NHC Advisory... [Re: MichaelA]
      #41117 - Sat Jul 09 2005 08:42 PM

Has the track been updated in the past 2 hours?

When will the other models info come in? I'm talking about when you go to the spagetti model page?


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