Lysis
User
Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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Clark just mentioned the diurnal convective maximum, and I made a thread about it a while back in the hurricane ask tell forum, if any one is interested in his more detailed answer. Good stuff.
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cheers
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Old Sailor
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 293
Loc: Florida
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Think we have TD9 up graded to TS at 11:00AM by . In some ways glad to see a S, this way it should track better per the Models runs, TD and waves trend to track to the west not following the Models.
Dave
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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should be close to having another TS at 11pm
TD9 looks much better this morning and still has some shear, but is holding its own...
here's an forecast look at 48hrs....might help with folks
the forecasted ridge to build
48hrs forecast
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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07/1145 UTC 20.2N 44.8W T2.0/2.0 09 -- Atlantic Ocean
numbers are up...but latest sats are not looking good....shear is back and low center looks exposed....
nice to see the 11am on harvey is and hour + early...
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Aug 07 2005 10:30 AM)
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1299
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I don't think its looking all that good right now based on the latest GOES vis sat loops... hints of perhaps some stacking problems as the LLC is now somewhat exposed again and back to the SE you can see perhaps another circulation, looks to be in the mid levels... TD 9 is struggling again... strange appearance on the vis at the moment
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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think is calling it a TS now
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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WTNT02 KNGU 071502
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM IRENE (09L) WARNING NR 012
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
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WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 45.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 45.0W
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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someone hit the enter key /send key to fast on harvey
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 21...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 07 2005
CORRECTS ADVISORY POSITION FROM EARLIER INADVERTENT TRANSMISSION
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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TROPICAL STORM IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 07 2005
...NINTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC... EARLIEST NINTH STORM ON RECORD ...
at this rate....everything is going to be a record 
great discussion too.....by franklin
little note at end----
*IRENE IS THE EARLIEST NINTH NAMED STORM ON RECORD...BREAKING THE
OLD MARK BY 13 DAYS. NORMALLY BY THIS DATE ONLY NAMED STORMS
HAVE FORMED.*
Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Aug 07 2005 10:50 AM)
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NONAME
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 136
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Does 9 Have Two Centers of Circulation Look at Attachment
Edited by NONAME (Sun Aug 07 2005 10:57 AM)
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Misfit Toys
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 3
Loc: Orlando, FL
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What is shear? And how does impact hurricanes? Positive or Negative?
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Helper
Unregistered
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Quote:
What is shear? And how does impact hurricanes? Positive or Negative?
Shear is winds in the atmosphere that are detrimental to the development of hurricanes. These winds blow the cloud tops off of the centers much like we have seen this year with Franklin, Harvey, and now, Irene. Hope that helps.
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Helper
Unregistered
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Deleted by Moderator... double post.
Edited by Storm Cooper (Sun Aug 07 2005 11:17 AM)
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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Does anyone think this could be anything other than a fish spinner?
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
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I'm not impressed by all the talk this year of numbers and named storms and the earliest this and that. What I am happy about is that so far, only one storm has caused any major concern for the U.S. Mainland.
Hopefully we will continue to have a bunch of weak Atlantic storms that are only a threat to mariners.
As far as the records go, as the old saying says, Records are meant to be broken.
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pcola
Storm Tracker
Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
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Well at least the low in the Gulf never materialized. We actually have sun here for the first time in 5 days. Maybe I can start to put my fence back up...on second thought I think I will wait for November....
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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!
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Ryan
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
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new thread on Irene
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2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.
Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back
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recmod
Weather Guru
Reged: Sun
Posts: 188
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
new thread on Irene
WHERE.....I See no new thread
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Kevin
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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The new thread on Irene is in the Storm Forum. Its not a news talkback.
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MapMaster
Weather Guru
Reged: Tue
Posts: 138
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Seems wanted to upgrade to Irene real bad...they jumped the gun...looks like an open wave right now, even though there is a small circulation center.A lot of times they would ignore a quiksat like that...I think the upgrade was an error- premature in any case. Still think it is a goner.
Yep, it appears to be a fishspinner, almost any way you look at it.
Looking at the basin wide pic this morning, looks more like (a normal) JUNE..ugh! There is a disturbance N of Panama that looks to be moving NNW, but there is a LOT of shear north of it.
There are so many upper lows and so much shear...sure doesn't look like August. Ironic.
This will change with time, and agree with others that the season is likely (at least until September) to have 'bursts' of storms.
My 2 cents.
MM
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