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MichaelA
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Weather Analyst Reged: Thu Posts: 945 Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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The FSU model page has all current model runs indicating development this coming weekend/early next week. Whether it is sub-tropical or purely tropical will remain to be seen. I did see an article that stated that the East Pacific sea surface ENSO was beginning to cool which, if I recall correctly, could mean an above normal Atlantic season. -------------------- Michael PWS
JMII
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Weather Master Reged: Thu Posts: 489 Loc: Margate, Florida
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Down here in S FL we need the rain, so no complaints with a tropical wave moving thru. Would just prefer it do this during the week and not the weekend however. -------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for: David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17 Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22
Bloodstar
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Moderator Reged: Mon Posts: 462 Loc: Tucson, AZ
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Looks like first advisory will be at 5pm EDT. Trivia: this will be the sixth year in a row that the Atlantic will have had a tropical system form before June first. -------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020 Brookhaven National Laboratory U. Arizona PhD Student
IsoFlame
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Weather Analyst Reged: Wed Posts: 295 Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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Looking beyond Invest 91-L for any areas with "upstream" potential for development to our south early in the season, NWS Melbourne mentioned in extended discussion: GFS guid continues to indicate modest onshore winds from the ATLC with a deepening Caribbean gyre centered near the Yucatan. EC is not quite into the height fall trend to the south. -------------------- CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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