A convectively active tropical wave/broad low pressure system we have been tracking in near and over the Yucatan has become better defined this morning, and a tropical cyclone may be forming. Conditions continue to appear favorable for development and we are now starting a lounge on this system that is already very close to land.
NHC presently has a 40% odds of 99L becoming a numbered tropical cyclone within 48 hours, and this could be conservative.
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Generated April 27, 2024, 1:24:41 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center