Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Tropical low near 12N 22.5W at 17/12Z moving west to west southwest at 15kts. Easterly wave is well defined on satellite imagery with small area of circulation and a large low cloud envelope. No significant convection, but no significant shear either. Water temps slightly below normal and wave is moving into an area of increasing subsidence. If this one develops at all, it will take quite a few days to do so.
Cheers,
ED
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Cycloneye
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 373
Loc: Puerto Rico
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http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/pdus/AI/latest.jpg
It shows clearly the circulation but not a lot of convection yet but as you said ED the hostil conditions are ahead of it so let's see if it will survive or not but it may survive if conditions improve in atlantic as the azores high weakens some.
-------------------- My 2004 hurricane season forecast=13/8/3
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