News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Colleen A.]
      #22727 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:11 PM

Well, then Phil, I guess you might have to tell him the same thing. I'm done with it now. I would have PM'd him, but again, he's not registered.

I was only answering his comment to me, if you want to chop me for that, then fine.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #22728 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:12 PM

wouldn't it be great if someone could just pick up this storm and throw it into Afganastan or something?

--------------------
Kelly


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BillD
User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #22729 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:13 PM

Yes, it has been out for over a week now. Came back briefly this morning, but is out again.

Bill


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: kelcot]
      #22730 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:14 PM

ETA's new landfall point

That's to show that it still could go either way up the coast, and it's not really quite the best time to try to guess an exact landfall point.


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SoonerShawn
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: BillD]
      #22731 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:16 PM

Man, the eye diameter is growing and growing,again. With every frame it gets even larger.

ShawnS


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Tarpon
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Colleen A.]
      #22732 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:17 PM

Sorry if I offended you. I do remember Phillips talking about the turn east before 12 o clock when Charlie was closing in. I will admit that he waited for an hour before confirming that the path was changing. Either way, lets hope some miracle takes this baby out of Florida and harms way for other states as well. By the way, will any insurance companies do business in Florida if this monster hits Florida?

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SoonerShawn
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: MikeC]
      #22733 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:19 PM

Mike, how has the ETA been handling Frances so far?

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52255225
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 166
Loc: Parrish Fl
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Tarpon]
      #22734 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:20 PM

good question! mines going to expire in october. I wonder if the renewal rate will go up? I bet it will....

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Doombot!
Unregistered




Eyewall [Re: 52255225]
      #22736 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:27 PM

Looks like the replacement cycle is done. Anyone have the latest pressure?

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Tarpon]
      #22737 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:28 PM

No problem...and I think that the best hope is that it does go parallel up the coast and then to the NE.

As for insurance? If this one hits, I don't know that they can NOT insure people, but the rates will definitely go up.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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JeffSD
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: 52255225]
      #22738 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:29 PM

Im supposed to be in Florida this weekend to visit my brother in-law. Our flight gets into Tampa 12:01am Saterday. My brother in-law lives in Orlando and we were suposed to go to Satellite Beach....

Should we still come and just stay in Orlando? Is that safe? Or will the flights be canceled?


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BillD
User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
Re: Eyewall [Re: Doombot!]
      #22739 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:31 PM

Last vortex message from recon was at 2215Z, and it was 939MB. I agree it has finished this cycle and is looking less ragged overall. Also still on a WNW heading.

Bill


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rickonboat
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 90
won't get in the gulf with this one... [Re: JeffSD]
      #22740 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:34 PM

I was only about 500 miles off or so. Not bad. Sure looks like it is tracking more and more northerly. almost tracking nw at the moment, and wouldn't suprise me if Hank Frank is right.

I thought earlier it would get in the gulf, but doubt it. looks like a Florida hit, but maybe it won't.

Kinda missing the islands around the bahamas at the moment....but won't miss the last two.


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: won't get in the gulf with this one... [Re: rickonboat]
      #22741 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:37 PM

I'm getting off of here for a while...need to take a breather.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: Tarpon]
      #22742 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:39 PM

we "used" to have a weatherman here too that went out on a limb and told everyone there was no way a storm was coming this way. that it was headed to texas. next morning everyone woke up with Opal headed this way. don't base what is going on by one persons statement. with all that have to get information with use all of those resources. that is what the mets do. as far as no way tampa is getting hurricane winds.... based on the track probably not.. but i am probably not gonna win the lottery but i still got 5 quick picks

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Chad
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 22
Loc: Citrus County, Fla.
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening [Re: andy1tom]
      #22743 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:45 PM

Geez...and it fit too...

--------------------
Chad
28.97
82.48

Edited by Chad (Wed Sep 01 2004 07:58 PM)


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Doombot!
Unregistered




GFDL [Re: andy1tom]
      #22744 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:46 PM

The ~00z GFDL is out, it really wants to pull it away from Florida.

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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Frances [Re: Doombot!]
      #22746 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:52 PM

Email from a friend:

The NHC is now putting Frances ashore at Vero Beach or so. That's a 24 hour southward movement from Jacksonville. If that holds the Orlando metro area will get blasted like with Charley but worse.

I'm still forecasting a Ft. Lauderdale-Miami window, the only Meteorologist (I think) forecasting that landfall, with no changes over the past three days. Even this landfall can still blast the Tampa Bay area but more likely a Sarasota to Ft. Myers window. A path south of Miami through the Florida Keys and/or Florida Straits is also "possible".

Take Care,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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52255225
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 166
Loc: Parrish Fl
Re: won't get in the gulf with this one... [Re: rickonboat]
      #22747 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:52 PM

What did Hank Frank say? I cant find it on here.

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LI Phil
User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
A request & A challenge... [Re: Doombot!]
      #22748 - Wed Sep 01 2004 07:53 PM

SkeetoByte will do up his now wildly popular maps with the GFS & GFDL models...what he needs are times, coords & windspeeds. If there is anyone on the boards who could provide him with such (like you don't have enough to do), he will then generate model maps based on the model progs.

If anyone can get that data in "NHC" form, that would be most welcome. Thanks! and Good Luck!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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