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Terri
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: Richmond Hill, GA
Re: Sorry Lou [Re: MikeC]
      #32193 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:08 PM

Quote:

I'm beginning to think it'll make the turn when part of the eye is already on land.




That's exactly what I just heard on TWC. They are still saying the turn will happen once the eye is over land.


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Liz L.
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 36
Loc: St Cloud, Florida
Re: Jeanne Still Heading West [Re: Floridacane]
      #32194 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:08 PM

about 9 ish here, we still have power and getting quite windy, crossing fingers that we keep power

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obshaz
Unregistered




Double Eyewall? [Re: gailwarning]
      #32195 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:09 PM

Tom Terry of Channel 9 is talking about a double eyewall. Can someone explain what this means?

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Ocala
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: Ocala, FL
Re: A long night ahead... [Re: Bloodstar]
      #32196 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:11 PM

My sister lives in Tampa. I called her yesterday after reading all the posts on this site to tell her to pay close attention. Talked with her tonight and she said they were evacuting mobiles, but I don't know about the low lying areas. She is in a flood zone, and they didn't post an evacution for her area.

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Liz L.
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 36
Loc: St Cloud, Florida
Re: Double Eyewall? [Re: obshaz]
      #32197 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:11 PM

better to see us with hehe..just a bit of humor

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StormHound
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Double Eyewall? [Re: obshaz]
      #32198 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:12 PM

Quote:

Tom Terry of Channel 9 is talking about a double eyewall. Can someone explain what this means?



He's talking about the ERC (Eyewall Replacement Cycle) that Phil has been talking about. Basically, the eyewall is being rebuilt, which seems to be resulting in a smaller eyewall, which may result in a stronger storm. She's running out of water to strengthen in, however.

--------------------
Storm Hound
Computer Geek


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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Update [Re: Lake Toho - Kissimmee]
      #32199 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:13 PM

Jim Williams is out of power, a friend of mine in Palm Beach gardens went out of power, and the guy Jim was talking to in Stuart went out of power to, so it's hitting there pretty hard right now.

(They all went about the same time)


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Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: North Central Florida [Re: obshaz]
      #32200 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:13 PM

I think the worst conditions will be strong tropical storm by the time it gets to that area. I still feel the storm will pass slightly to the east of the Spring Hill area, though. I see no way this storm cuts south or over Tampa. I would be shocked if it is not North and east of Tampa.

--------------------
Jim


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collegemom
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Thu
Posts: 82
Loc: Central Arkansas
Re: Double Eyewall? [Re: Liz L.]
      #32201 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:14 PM

sick liz sick
but chucking non the less about spending big bucks to drop my child off in time for all 4 of them....

--------------------
character has been defined as what we do when no one is looking


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Rubber Ducky
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 34
Loc: Cocoa Beach, FL
Re: Jeanne Still Heading West [Re: Floridacane]
      #32202 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:15 PM

Quote:

Can anyone tell me how bad its gonna be?




Truth-be-told, no. General condition seems pretty clear now (gnarly), though time-of-turn will effect this. But the micro-wx at your particular location is not predictable. Possible tornadoes are biggest wild card for folks not at the DGZ.


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obshaz
Unregistered




Re: Double Eyewall? [Re: StormHound]
      #32203 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:15 PM

What about the gulfstream, or has it already hit it?

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Ocala
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: Ocala, FL
Re: North Central Florida [Re: Rasvar]
      #32204 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:15 PM

Jim Cantori just mentioned Spring Hill on the air. Said it will probably be worse than Frances in that area.

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RickInRockledge
Unregistered




Re: Sorry Lou [Re: Terri]
      #32205 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:16 PM

Based on latest Melbourne radar images (granted it's just a few frames) but as that new eyewall has tightened up it DOES look like it's starting more of a NNW movement.

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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: Double Eyewall? [Re: obshaz]
      #32206 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:17 PM

A double eye wall usually indicates strengthening of the intensity of the winds at the hurricane center. It is just a developmental stage of a hurricane.This can happen easily right before a cane makes landfall and can cause all kinds of unexpected damage to surrounding areas., Hopefully this won't happen in this case.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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RONJON
Unregistered




Re: CNN Turn [Re: obshaz]
      #32207 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:18 PM

yeah, I saw that jacki girl say that too. Not likely. Look at the radar. There is a slight w-nw motion but no dramatic 90 deg turn to the north..they are basing there "turn" on a computer model. Right Now, go with NHC track - if anything, the NHC track may have to be shifted slightly south.

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Domino
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
Re: Sorry Lou [Re: RickInRockledge]
      #32208 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:20 PM

Was looking at the Melbourne radar as well - looks like that was just a wobble to the NNW, however it has returned to almost a due W motion in the last few frames...I think

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jbmusic
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 42
Loc: Bradenton, Fl
Re: Sorry Lou [Re: Lake Toho - Kissimmee]
      #32209 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:21 PM

HEY, From Manatee County and not liking all this talk, all of a sudden about the storm coming to my area. Are people beginning to think it is going to go further south than has been predicted?

--------------------
Jenny Bradenton, Florida
www.bbdigitalphoto.com


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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Losing Folks Online In those Areas [Re: RONJON]
      #32210 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:21 PM

Mike C...yeah I think we are losing some of the folks in here from those areas now....WXMAN is in boynton too....winds are picking up more down here too...our power is flickering

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alan
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 95
Loc: Apopka, FL
Re: Sorry Lou [Re: Domino]
      #32211 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:22 PM

Quote:

Was looking at the Melbourne radar as well - looks like that was just a wobble to the NNW, however it has returned to almost a due W motion in the last few frames...I think




agreed.


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AdmittedHacker
Unregistered




Re: CNN Turn [Re: RONJON]
      #32212 - Sat Sep 25 2004 09:22 PM

The current track is only about 10 miles south of the track projected at 5:00 pm... and with this slight turn WNW it is paralleling the projected course pretty well. Nothing unexpected really...

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