Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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I think the question of the hour for Peninsula residents (such as myself) is, how deep will the southwesterly flow go, and how much affect will it have on . I'm feeling pretty safe here in greater Tampa tonight, but I guess you never know.
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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I found it on the 3 am discussion on the Accuweather website. I have been concerned over a possibliity of a northeast turn and have been watching very closely. Although nearly all of the models disagree.
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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that would be nice if the models were right but you never know unfortunately
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Mike N
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 16
Loc: Tampa, FL
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Nothing has been mentioned for hours about 2 of the models (GFS and another) that had shifted to the right. Have more models come in and if so, what are they like now? NE Turn someone mentioned??? Are the dynamics setting up or projecting for the possibility of that happening around 28-30 deg lat?? Yesterday, there was absolutely no chance of this thing bending NE until 200 mi inland.
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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We are getting an enormous band right now....we must have winds over 50mph and higher gusts...what a squall line! Get readay everyone north of me!
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berserkr
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Fri
Posts: 13
Loc: SC
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I think we can safely assume that this storm is heading towards the AL/FL border, just as the has been saying for DAYS now. Kudos to them for calling it right 3+ days out.
(remainder of post removed. On this site you can attack the post, but not the poster. What is not important to you may be quite important to another.)
Ed Dunham
CFHC Administrator
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 09 2005 10:49 AM)
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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OT... Removed for Clutter.
Edited by MikeC (Sat Jul 09 2005 07:23 AM)
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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr...
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yeh really
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mojorox
Weather Watcher
Reged: Mon
Posts: 46
Loc: Orlando
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Is the five oclock report out?
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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The 5 am track is nearly identical to the one posted at 11, just a slight hair east. With each passing map as long as it stays west we here in Florida can rest a bit easier. Not until he is well north and inland though. After living thru its easy to have post tramatic stress syndrome. Our favorite saying in these parts of Florida these days is I hope that hurricane out there doesn't pull a :Charely". 
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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KC
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Sun
Posts: 87
Loc: Naples, FL
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Watch out for the storms! We've had some wicked storms and a lot of rain so far in the Naples area. We also lost power for an hour, something that did not happen at all last year. If you are in the path be careful and get your coffee made now!
Karen
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stormchazer
Storm Tracker
Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
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Good morning to you to! Wow a whole 7th post and you are our official critic.
Its cool but this is a Weather Discussion board where we discuss and learn and some times make some dubious pronouncements. As for feeder band post, well those who live in effective areas do like to talk about those things as it is a Discussion board as fore-mentioned.
Anyhow, looks like is a little ragged. Will be interesting to see what comeback it can make. Models are in tight agreement so will just have to watch and hope that are friends to the North and west do not get a stronger storm.
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Jara
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lagetawaay
Registered User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 5
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gm to all a newbie here love tracking hurricanes especially since i live about 50 miles from gulf shores
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Talassee
Registered User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 7
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The 5 am discussion is not showing up on the website...at least not for me. Has anyone seen it?
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Renee
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LadyStorm
Weather Guru
Reged: Thu
Posts: 154
Loc: United States
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Quote:
The 5 am discussion is not showing up on the website...at least not for me. Has anyone seen it?
Try this link:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/tropicalwx/t...ze/AL0405W5.JPG
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"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"
..........Albert Einstein
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Talassee
Registered User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 7
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Never mind....found it here....thnks.
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Renee
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Put this into context. We're coming off a year in which we endured 4 major storms in a short amount of time. To have another major storm in our area in less than a year and so early this year puts us on edge. Yes, we're nervous. As far as trusting the forecast 100%, not going to happen. 's hard right turn was not forecast at all after days of forecasts showing a more northwesterly track. So, let folks vent a bit. 
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Michael
PWS
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Marknole
Weather Watcher
Reged: Sun
Posts: 46
Loc: Wacissa, FL
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Here's the most notable/best part of the 5 AM discussion. Great news to wake-up to:
SHIPS MODEL IS NO LONGER RE-INTENSIFYING BUT THE
GFDL DOES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS CONTINUITY AND
RE-STRENGTHENS OVER THE GULF BUT THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD LATER TODAY. NORMALLY...
IT TAKES 12 TO 24 HOURS FOR A CYCLONE TO RECOVER FROM THE EFFECTS
OF LAND...IF AT ALL.
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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News 9 says a tornado on the ground near St. Pete Beach.
It is moving west, so if you have just woke up in St. Pete, maybe due to the lightning, better take precautions...
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Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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looks like in last 2-3hrs the has expanded after entering the GOM late last night. most IR sat shots show much cooler tops around center then a few hrs ago. The looks much better now then it did say around 1:00am edt this morning. should make one last run in strengthing now...
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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