hurricane expert
Really Not an Expert
Reged: Thu
Posts: 105
Loc: florida
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Is there a chance this track could make a major shift say to like the big bend of flordia.
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Quote:
Is there a chance this track could make a major shift say to like the big bend of flordia.
I'll say it again. My untrained, unprofessional feeling is that will ultimately make landfall somewhere between Cosumel, MX, and Key West, Florida. That area also include Brownsville, TX. To narrow it down further is guessing 
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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Genesis
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 125
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Quote:
Is there a chance this track could make a major shift say to like the big bend of flordia.
Anything is possible, but that looks low-probability.
HOWEVER - this storm will be ugly enough that the surge can be trouble FAR from where it goes in. Remember - hits well clear of Appalachicola, yet there is massive surge trouble over there with Highway 98 damage 200nm away from the impact point!
Don't be complacent. This storm is going to be bigger and at least as strong as , and depending on exactly how the path comes through it may get really ugly a long way off from a standpoint of surge - and inland, in terms of rain.
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