Convection has increased this afternoon southwest of Jamaica as a westward moving tropical wave interacts with an upper level low pressure system. The system is also passing through a shear zone which makes any near-term development quite unlikely. Upper level conditions should improve a bit by Sunday afternoon as the wave moves west northwestward into an area of lower shear.
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Generated May 1, 2024, 8:53:35 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center