Hurricane29
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 148
Loc: Miami Florida
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Good evening,
Tropics are dead tonight and will probably remain quiet for the rest of the season.I know this is long range and can not be taken seriously...But The 00Z tonight forms a weak area of Low-pressure in the gulf of mexico and brings into south-florida threw the bahamas and begins to intensify of the eastcoast to 992mbs.
00Z @ 372hrs
00z @ 384 hrs
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SebaswLouis
Unregistered
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The way the pattern has been would say NO MORE STORMS, The way I see it Two storms, maybe one affecting U.S.
This could be Gulf area. Any ideas?
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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The long-range isn't reliable in the least, particularly at time frames of 15-16 days as posted there. It's more for general climate patterns than anything; all models, including the , have enough trouble predicting things right in one week, yet alone two.
Further, the system that it develops there is decidedly baroclinic/non-tropical. Note the orientation of the dashed contours, the thickness lines -- they are oriented as seen with warm and cold fronts throughout. The precipitation distribution is indicative of an cyclone as well. In other words -- nothing to get worked up about.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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