Kristi
Registered User
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1
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I live in south Louisiana, between Southwest Pass and the Sabine River, I looked at the AVNI computer model and it seems as though Hurricane was closest to that model. Historically, how accurate is that model?
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swne
Unregistered
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well regardless of where ike goes it is pretty evident that south fl will feel some winds and rain. this system is massive and by looking at the radar it appears inevitable alot of florida will feel some affects especially if it has any northerly, wobble, jog, moonwalk or whatever. i bet when it arrives into the center of the gulf (if it does) it will encompass 90 percent of it..
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Clark
Meteorologist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
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AVNI, or the , is one of the better global models. Historically it is not often the best but is often toward the top. However, I would not advise taking one storm -- especially from past years, when the model setup was different -- and using it's performance with that storm to predict what any other storm will do.
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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
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