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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: TS Bonnie Makes Landfall Over Extreme South Florida [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #88487 - Fri Jul 23 2010 06:43 PM

NHC is being generous calling Bonnie a depression. On visible satellite Bonnie looks like a well sheared system with only a remnant low in the low levels. Shear analysis puts Bonnie right along the edge of the 30 knot isotach and there is a bullseye of 50 knots directly over New Orleans. Bonnie might survive only as a shallow system...

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Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"


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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: TS Bonnie Makes Landfall Over Extreme South Florida [Re: berrywr]
      #88489 - Fri Jul 23 2010 07:19 PM

I had to laugh at the local Met who showed the 'predictions' for the future of Bonnie. They are calling for it to regain 50mph winds before its next landfall in Louisiana!! I don't see any way as Bonnie is being stretched and torn like a piece of taffy right now.

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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2


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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: TS Bonnie Makes Landfall Over Extreme South Florida [Re: berrywr]
      #88490 - Fri Jul 23 2010 07:48 PM

Just a quick comment. I'm never too sad to see a system do what this one did today. Dump a bit of needed rain on the state and blow itself out as it exited to the West. Looking for maily a rain event as the system comes ashore tomorrow in the Northern Gulf of Mexico.
All in all, this was a chance for all of us to check our readiness in the event of a more potent threat later in the season. The heart of the season is only a few weeks away.


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