ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Puerto Morelos,Mx
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I am pretty close to NOAA's numbers. 
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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 377
Loc: Plant City, Florida
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Going to go with 16 - 7 - 3 this year. No particular reason. I went low side last year and was wrong...probably will switch on me this year. Let's hope WeatherBells predictions of LOT of threats to the US doesn't verify!
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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3
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doug
Weather Analyst
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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TSR's 5/26 forecast increased to 14/6/3 and ACE now up to 93.There seems to be consensus that an El Nino will be delayed which explains the increase... since this is for fun I will keep my updated guess 11/5/2
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doug
Edited by doug (Tue May 30 2017 09:22 AM)
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Kraig
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Sun
Posts: 57
Loc: Jupiter, Fl
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I'm going to go a little lower, with 10/6/2.....
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4441
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Ed Dunham sadly passed away on May 14th, the outlook will continue on, but he will be greatly missed.
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cieldumort
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2135
Loc: Austin, Tx
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My preferred analog years: 1951, 1996 and 2001 assuming no El Niño ... but with some deference to 1965 and/or 1972 should an El Niño develop this year, and develop prior to September.
Speaking just of the continental U.S., an above-average landfall risk along all of the Gulf states, the southeast, and all the way up the eastern seaboard to Canada. (An unusually larger and higher than average landfall risk area).
Much above-average chance of early season development/s, especially close to Mexico, Central America, and the U.S.
My 2017 total numbers forecast for the Atlantic basin: 14 Names, 7 Hurricanes, 3 Majors
~ In memory of Ed. Always inspiring, always insightful, always sincere. Rest in peace. ~
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Bloodstar
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 461
Loc: Georgia Tech
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16/9/4
And very sad news indeed about Ed Dunham. 
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4441
Loc: Orlando, FL
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i'll let the last one slide, but the listing is closed for the season. Now to see what happens...
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker
Reged: Mon
Posts: 377
Loc: Plant City, Florida
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No results from 2017??
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If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3
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