MikeC
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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General Long Range Discussion
Wed May 11 2022 09:28 AM
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06Z GFS showing a western Caribbean disturbance moving in the Gulf in about 2 weeks, been off/and on, but something worth watching to see if it persists or if other models latch onto it. That said, it's highly unlikely to materialize. What these patterns usually indicate is the environment has a better than usual chance for something to develop during the long range time frame, but not that it will, and definitely not how it tracks even if it does.
In this case it means ether the western Caribbean or even more likely the eastern Pacific may see something get going in about two weeks. (The area for development is pretty large)
Edited by CFHC (Wed May 11 2022 01:59 PM)
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