The GFS and its ensembles are remarkably consistant from run to run with something forming the caribbean in about a week from Sunday, (long range takes it into the gulf and even becomes a cat 2/3 hurricane near Florida's west coast). However, the euro and other models still are suggesting the energy goes into the eastern pacific. So something to watch for.
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Generated May 2, 2024, 11:30:21 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center