This morning 6z GFS and the euro are split. Euro with weaker into the east pacific (still more likely) and the GFS whichi gets a system going off the Yucatan peninsula this Saturday then bends in back into the Gulf and over Florida near Fort Myers as a cat 2 (close to 3) on late on the Tuesday the 24th/early May 25th.
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Generated May 2, 2024, 1:35:52 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center