MikeC
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Re: General Long Range Discussion
Thu May 19 2022 07:42 AM
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Just to follow up the GFS first pushed back the timeframe, then did eventually drop this. (or pushing whatever is left into the east pacific) Beyond this there's a phantom storm in the very long range time in the area typical for early season development. At that long range it just means look in that general area to see what the trends are, and particularly when the other models get into that timeframe.
As for track and intensity, until a storm actually forms, take model runs with a grain of salt. Ida is a good example of this.
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