The 11AM discussion bumps the intensity up a bit before landfall and nudges the forecast track a bit more westward with landfall near Crystal River. If Ian remains offshore from Tampa Bay, that will lessen the impact there. If Ian does follow that track, the Nature Coast could suffer a catastrophic storm surge. The models continue to shift a bit westward with landfalls from Crystal River to Apalachicola. The panhandle west of Apalachicola doesn’t need another major hurricane strike.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 8:12:31 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center