Quote: This 11 am discussion has Ian over my house at the 120H forecast position. I swear Ian is coming down my street…lol.
We are saturated from the daily rains and all our ponds are full. I’m not in a flood zone but I’m concerned with the amount of rain we will get and what it will do to the area.
The 2PM is more of the same despite a continued drift to the West. The Euro has drifted from its original landfall into the SouthWest portion of Florida to a more mid Florida entry. Meanwhile the GFS mean keeps drifting West along the Florida panhandle. The wide spread between the two is probabaly why the NHC is just recycling the previous track. This may be a good sign for those in the center of Florida, perhaps even for the whole state. Meanwhile, I've heard stories of people being extremely aggressive in my local grocery stores. The NHC track is again causing widespread panic without providing much useful information. I'm curious as to why the ECMF long track model hasn't been run since early yesterday. At least I can't see it plotted beyond Cuba.
-------------------- Wesley Chapel FL - since 1990
Previous resident of North Miami and Merritt Island
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Generated May 18, 2024, 6:36:08 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center