Quote: SFWMD updates all the models it can every 6 hours, some of them are still the older runs
12Z GFS Is a direct hit on Tampa as a strong cat 3.
I can't imagine many scenarios worse than a brief/slow jog to the ENE as the GFS suggested. It would put the Bay and Pinellas on the right front quadrant of a strong, slow moving cat 3 for 6-8 hours (maybe even 10-12) starting late night Wednesday into much of Thursday.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 3:23:10 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center