Thinking the same thing about Charley (2004). My family evac'd Upper Tampa Bay back then and ended up in Orlando with CAT 1 damage. Pretty consistent model trend of a slightly more eastward track.
-------------------- "Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."
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Generated May 18, 2024, 6:19:50 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center