Model runs are pretty much inconclusive this early. CMC takes it on a similar track as Ian bringing it to western Cuba or the Yucatan Straights. ECMWF takes it through the middle of the Caribbean. GFS doesn’t have a handle on it, and the NAVGEM runs it up East of the Bahamas. It’s certainly something to keep updated on.
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Generated May 10, 2024, 4:19:03 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center