Given its current structure its hard to believe this becoming at Cat 2 or even a Cat 1... but that's why I don't work for the NHC.
As I said in the other post - late season storms always come from the SW not the E, so this is a very odd track but the models all agree. Being sub-tropical the TS wind field is massive, the NHC has it 275 out from the center (all to the E right now). If accurate this means the nearly the whole E coast of FL will get TS winds. So our trailer in St James City got flooded now our condo in Vero is going to get it... UGH.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for: David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22
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Generated May 20, 2024, 1:05:17 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center