Just as she was starting to look pretty good Nicole sucked in a bunch of dry air which caused all the thunderstorm on the E side of the just formed eye to disappear. The only moisture is to the N and the really intense stuff is displaced nearly 180 miles NE of the center. The structure is there but the atmospheric fuel is missing. For the last 2-3 hours she has tracked due W. Despite the current weakness she is actually deeper (by 7mb) then the GFS predicted.
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Generated May 20, 2024, 5:37:08 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center