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HanKFranK User Reged: Mon Posts: 1841 Loc: Graniteville, SC Re: Potential for development       Sun Jul 04 2004 03:39 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   steve, usa in decline? i don't see anybody else in the world i'd want filling our shoes who could... so lets hope that isn't the case. regardless there are enough of us who won't go down quietly. earlier on i made a post contrary to rob m's on how the tropics would behave this month.. if model trends are going to hold out then i might lose that one. the mid-latitude development i was looking for would need amplification and pattern shifs.. all those neutral signals paired with a zonal appearance on gfs by mid-month (once the current kinks get worked out) depth-charge my idea. steve gave the heads-up on the current wave (think it's really at 45w).. models have been a little wishy-washy with it, and have trended south. by mid-week we should have a good fix on its real potential. other waves will emerge.. two more significant ones appear on gfs plots.. the first is depicted as getting too far north and caught for a few days in the mid-atlantic in a ridge split.. the second pushes across to the caribbean much like the one currently entering the area should. out of the aforementioned systems i do expect a named tropical cyclone to develop. right now the pattern is transitioning and some of the trough energy east of florida (70w) may also try to fester, though there isn't a convincing model depiction of this. anyhow, one other thing i'd like to note. wave speed right now appears a bit slower than normal.. low level easterlies don't seem quite as strong. as the ridge flattens out this may change, but i suspect that if the waves keep the throttle settings the same and mjo goes negative and knocks the shear down, systems will have a relatively easy time organizing. could be active later this month. HF 1939z04july Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Bring on the Weather! John C Sun Jul 04 2004 03:39 PM Patience Please Ed Dunham   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:40 PM Re: Patience Please James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 03:39 AM Re: Patience Please Lois   Wed Jul 07 2004 10:27 AM Re: Patience Please Anonymous   Wed Jul 07 2004 12:21 PM Re: Patience Please Tropics Guy   Wed Jul 07 2004 12:36 PM ps about patience and the mjo bobbi   Wed Jul 07 2004 12:53 PM Re: ps about patience and the mjo James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 01:19 PM thanks re: mjo bobbi   Wed Jul 07 2004 02:47 PM African wave potential? Cycloneye   Wed Jul 07 2004 01:53 PM Re: African wave potential? Cycloneye   Wed Jul 07 2004 06:35 PM Re: African wave potential? LI Phil   Wed Jul 07 2004 07:28 PM Re: African wave potential? Steve Hirschberg   Wed Jul 07 2004 08:44 PM Re: African wave potential? HanKFranK   Wed Jul 07 2004 09:57 PM Re: African wave potential? h2ocean   Wed Jul 07 2004 10:44 PM Topic is "bring on the weather" not models and waves LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:03 AM please check out these statistics, thank u LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:19 AM Re: please check out these statistics, thank u Steve-unjacked   Thu Jul 08 2004 01:00 AM Re: please check out these statistics, thank u Ed Dunham   Thu Jul 08 2004 07:03 AM On the sats LoisCane   Thu Jul 08 2004 07:29 AM Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 07:34 AM Re: On the sats JustMe   Thu Jul 08 2004 07:34 AM Re: On the sats javlin   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:42 AM Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:49 AM Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 07:39 AM Re: On the sats Anonymous   Thu Jul 08 2004 07:58 AM Re: On the sats Steve hirsch.   Thu Jul 08 2004 08:00 AM Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 08:01 AM 96L invest for system near Bermuda Cycloneye   Thu Jul 08 2004 08:05 AM Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda LI Phil   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:30 AM i know what you mean phil ...but bobbi   Thu Jul 08 2004 02:56 PM Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda Steve hirsch.   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:55 AM Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda LI Phil   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:05 PM Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda Steve hirsch.   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:31 PM Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 12:13 PM Re: 96L invest for system near Bermuda Jamiewx   Thu Jul 08 2004 11:24 AM Re: On the sats James88   Thu Jul 08 2004 08:00 AM Patterns in late rainy season starts ..wondering LoisCane   Wed Jul 07 2004 09:41 PM Re: Patterns in late rainy season starts ..wondering Tropics Guy   Wed Jul 07 2004 09:58 PM Re: Patterns in late rainy season starts ..wondering LI Phil   Wed Jul 07 2004 10:06 PM Re: African wave potential? LoisCane   Wed Jul 07 2004 07:17 PM Re: Patience Please James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 12:15 PM One more thing Alex K   Tue Jul 06 2004 02:08 PM Good catch! summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 03:00 PM Re: One more thing LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 02:58 PM Re: One more thing Old Sailor   Tue Jul 06 2004 03:08 PM Re: One more thing James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 04:06 PM getting active......but Alex K   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:46 PM Re: getting active......but JustMe   Tue Jul 06 2004 10:52 PM shift HanKFranK   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:49 PM Re: shift HanKFranK   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:55 PM Re: shift summercyclone   Wed Jul 07 2004 09:42 AM Re: shift LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 07:08 PM Atlantic is heating up Cycloneye   Tue Jul 06 2004 08:11 PM Re: Atlantic is heating up LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 08:18 PM Things really heating up Jamiewx   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:27 PM Re: Things really heating up Rich B   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:48 PM I agree Alex K   Wed Jul 07 2004 02:18 PM Re: I agree Jamiewx   Wed Jul 07 2004 04:05 PM Re: I agree James88   Wed Jul 07 2004 04:11 PM New East Atlantic Wave Rich B   Wed Jul 07 2004 03:54 PM the 2 prospects Alex K   Tue Jul 06 2004 02:02 PM searching for Alex Alex K   Sun Jul 04 2004 11:12 PM Re: searching for Alex h2ocean   Sun Jul 04 2004 11:29 PM Re: searching for Alex James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 09:20 AM hi..boo BObbi   Mon Jul 05 2004 09:27 AM Re: hi..boo James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 10:37 AM Interesting Wave Kevin   Mon Jul 05 2004 10:53 AM Re: Interesting Wave James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 11:15 AM Glad ED is okay Wild Cat   Tue Jul 06 2004 12:50 PM 95L for eaat atlantic wave Cycloneye   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:09 PM 95L for eastern atlantic wave Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:20 PM Re: 95L for eaat atlantic wave James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:22 PM Re: Interesting Wave joepub1   Mon Jul 05 2004 11:54 AM looking at conditions... Alex K   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:32 PM Re: looking at conditions... Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:36 PM Re: looking at conditions... James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:44 PM Re: looking at conditions... Steve Hirschberg   Mon Jul 05 2004 02:03 PM More satellite imagery Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 02:16 PM Re: More satellite imagery Anonymous   Mon Jul 05 2004 03:20 PM Re: June CV storm summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 09:53 AM Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 10:18 AM Re: Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:00 PM Re: Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:05 PM Re: Bertha don't you come around here, anymore... James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 10:58 AM Bertha LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:06 AM Re: Bertha James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:22 AM LI 'Canes LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:36 AM Re: LI 'Canes James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 11:56 AM LI Express LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 12:04 PM Re: LI Express Anonymous   Tue Jul 06 2004 12:55 PM Re: LI Express Steve hirsch.   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:11 PM Belle LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:23 PM Donna James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:42 PM Re: LI Express James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 12:44 PM Re: LI Express LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 12:54 PM Re: Off Fl? summercyclone   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:05 PM Re: Off Fl? James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 01:10 PM Re: More satellite imagery James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 03:34 PM Re: More satellite imagery LI Phil   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:14 AM Re: More satellite imagery James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:34 AM Re: More satellite imagery Rich B   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:42 AM Re: More satellite imagery James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 05:50 AM Re: More satellite imagery Rich B   Tue Jul 06 2004 07:39 AM Re: More satellite imagery Cycloneye   Tue Jul 06 2004 07:42 AM Re: More satellite imagery Steve hirsch.   Tue Jul 06 2004 08:02 AM Re: More satellite imagery James88   Tue Jul 06 2004 07:58 AM Re: looking at conditions... Jamiewx   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:50 PM Re: looking at conditions... James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:53 PM 95L invest for East Atlantic wave Cycloneye   Mon Jul 05 2004 02:00 PM Re: looking at conditions... James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 01:35 PM Re: Interesting Wave James88   Mon Jul 05 2004 12:04 PM Preparations h2ocean   Fri Jul 02 2004 10:52 PM Re: Preparations James88   Sat Jul 03 2004 05:59 AM Re: Preparations Cycloneye   Sat Jul 03 2004 07:17 AM Re: Bring on the Weather! Steve Hirschberg   Fri Jul 02 2004 09:01 PM Re: Bring on the Weather! Cycloneye   Fri Jul 02 2004 09:16 PM Ed Dunham John C   Fri Jul 02 2004 09:13 PM Re: Bring on the Weather! LI Phil   Fri Jul 02 2004 08:40 PM Re: Bring on the Weather! Tropics Guy   Fri Jul 02 2004 09:19 PM Re: Bring on the Weather! Storm Cooper   Sat Jul 03 2004 08:32 AM Happy Birthday America LI Phil   Sat Jul 03 2004 10:15 AM Re: Happy Birthday America Kevin   Sat Jul 03 2004 01:32 PM The USA at 228 and in decline... Steve   Sun Jul 04 2004 12:05 AM Re: The USA at 228 and in decline... Steve   Sun Jul 04 2004 12:11 AM Potential for development James88   Sun Jul 04 2004 02:27 PM Re: Potential for development HanKFranK   Sun Jul 04 2004 03:39 PM Re: Potential for development James88   Sun Jul 04 2004 04:04 PM Luis & AJ! LI Phil   Fri Jul 02 2004 09:29 PM

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