Maybe the decrease in shower activity is just a fluctuation, and therefore temporary. Time will tell I suppose. Whatever happens, this is the first serious candidate for Alex since the Gulf disturbance a few weeks ago. Maybe my guess of July 7th will be right. (If so, it was a pure guess and was not based on meteorological statistics - except perhaps the MJO factor).
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Generated May 18, 2024, 5:45:56 PM EDT
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