The wave is looking good. It seems to be heading further north, thereby avoiding a collision with South America. It does look as though it may be entering some very dry air, so it may lose its thunderstorm activity later. Still, this wave has shown it's a tenacious one.
Sounds like the GOM may be a place to watch next week. I hope so, 'cos August is a long time to wait until a first storm.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 5:47:24 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center