The tropical wave 200 miles E of the L,W inslands continues to move w near 22mph. There is no w wind evident in ship, buoy, or satillite obs. Models, drier air and shear ahead of the system will not make the wave favorible for development. The eastern U.S trough should begin to lift out some over the next 2 days but be reinforced by friday into this weekend. Lower pressures in the Sw Gulf thru the NW Carribean could once again bring plenty of moisture up into florida emerging with this TW or most likley the 1 behind it. Some possible deveolpment might take place in this area early-mid next week. scottsvb
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Generated May 18, 2024, 7:45:09 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center