Well, since Rob or Jason hasn't posted it here yet, I will...the Saturday IWIC forecast:
The remnants if Invest 97L flared during the overnight hours. Convection has since diminished over the past 6 hours. Development is not expected. However, the wave will be monitored once it enters the Gulf of Mexico, as a trough will likely absorb most of the moisture and increase rain chances along the Gulf Coast.
The disturbed area of weather near the Bahamas hasn't change much in terms of organization over the last 24 hours. The upper level low causing a lot of upper shear will push west into Florida, allowing for upper level winds to become a bit more condusive for tropical development. A recon will investigate this area later today, if neccessary. Slow development is possible over the next several days.
Latest GFS runs are now that first indication that the Cape Verde season could begin during the last couple days of July or the first week of August. The operational GFS has had a strong wave progged to exit the coast of Africa for the past several runs. But the latest runs shows a couple waves that are even stronger. All seasonal parameters still suggest that we are in store for a very active 2004 hurricane season.
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Generated May 11, 2024, 5:46:16 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center