old 97L did flare back up over night and is looking better on satellite imagery than it has for a few days, but upper winds appear unfavorable and the wave axis is to the west of the convecion and any associated low is just north of Honduras. If it forms at all it will be in about 3-4 days in the Eastern Pacific development chances: 20% for Atlantic basin, more than likely in the gulf
98L has fallen apart since last night (this scenario seems familiar) and no longer has outflow or a mid-level low. It also seems to be in the process of being absorbed by the trough. development chances: 30% if it can manage to stay separated from the trough
The system near Puerto Rico is being heavily sheared and has almost no chance of developing. development chances: 10%
the wave at about 50 west has developed convection since last night, but appears to be flattening out. development chances: 20% if its not completely elongated first
wave near the Cape Verde ISlands is also falling apart and looks like it is being sheared and influenced by the larger extratropical system well to the north. Note that the center is well northeast of the convection development chances: 40% in a few days, if it holds together
the system over Africa looks very strong before comming off (also sounds familiar), but like most of the predecessors, may just become a low cloud swirl. development chances: 60-70% if it can manage to hold together (hopefully it will)
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Generated May 12, 2024, 3:30:21 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center