I decided last year to stop posting for a while, mostly because I got caught up in one of the NHC bashing scenarios, it has been going on here on this board and others for many years and does tend to get out of hand. The reality is that the NHC formula for categorizing a storm is not 100% based on weather observations. There is some percentage that is politics, some percentage is the fact that they are human (and as someone said, there are some forecasters that are predisposed to certain forecasts) and a percentage that is tied directly to the possible costs of a situation (like Floyd, although I think they did the right thing with Floyd, I was here, in Miami, I was sure that we were going to get nailed). On this board everything is based on just the observations and the human factor, we don't have to worry about politics... except for a little posturing here and there or money, but they do, and I think they do an excellent job, it is not a job that I would want.
I agree with bobbi that disagreeing with the NHC is not that same as bashing, but some of what I read went beyond disagreeing.
Let's drop this and go back to watching the tropics. I have been reading every message since the season began, and enjoying the different points of view and discussions.
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Generated May 9, 2024, 10:30:17 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center