The Gulf system could form, but since the upper level winds are only marginally favourable at the moment, I wouldn't expect anything in the immediate future. Maybe in a couple of days. The Bahamas system meanwhile looks to have good potential to develop based on the TWO and its current appearance on satellite imagery. Whatever happens this is probably our best and last chance to get a classified system before August sets in.
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Generated May 12, 2024, 11:45:54 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center