Alex's outflow to the N and NE seems to be getting better organized. WV loop indicates it may be pushing against the dry air slot on the N side.
Wave 91L-Thunderstorms have a cobblestone appearance on the periphery of the circ. Almost fully wrapped by these thunderstorms. There appears to be a LLCC, with thunderstorms rotating around it. The northern half of the circ. is complete with convection. West through S through E hasn't completed the circle, if you will. Rough approximation of movement is 1 degree W in 3 hours or about 20 mph.
Interesting note-GFS model is showing another tropical system nearing the SC and NC coast in about 12-14 days. Looks like a bad year for the East Coast.
AGXX40 KNHC 020642
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 42W/43W WITH
ASSOCIATED 1012 MB SFC LOW NEAR 11N43W MOVING W 20 KT.
GFS/NOGAPS/UKMET NOT VERY ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR
THIS WAVE. HOWEVER...THIS WAVE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE
DEVELOPMENT GIVEN THE FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED STRUCTURE TO THIS
SYSTEM. WAVE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO TROPICAL N ATLC OVERNIGHT
TUE/WED AND ALONG 58W EARLY WED.
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Generated May 14, 2024, 5:58:30 PM EDT
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